The extremely close June Republican primary, where Gentner Drummond edged Mike Mazzei by roughly 1,100 votes out of over 210,000 cast, combined with an early August poll showing the runoff tied at 44 percent, has driven trader pricing toward uncertain or narrow margins of victory. Drummond’s record as attorney general and stronger fundraising among traditional Republicans contrast with Mazzei’s record self-funding exceeding $11 million and endorsement from President Trump, which splits support along “MAGA” versus establishment lines in a low-turnout runoff environment. Recent developments, including an August 3 debate and final campaign finance filings showing continued heavy personal loans and outside spending, reinforce the competitive dynamics ahead of the August 25 vote without a clear frontrunner in statewide surveys.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMazzei <5% 25%
Drummond 5–10 % 25%
Mazzei 5–10 % 24%
Drummond 20–25 % 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
Drummond 25 %+
20%
Drummond 20–25 %
24%
Drummond 15–20 %
21%
Drummond 10–15 %
18%
Drummond 5–10 %
25%
Drummond <5%
12%
Mazzei <5%
25%
Mazzei 5–10 %
24%
Mazzei 10–15 %
4%
Mazzei 15–20 %
21%
Mazzei 20–25 %
20%
Mazzei 25 %+
21%
Mazzei <5% 25%
Drummond 5–10 % 25%
Mazzei 5–10 % 24%
Drummond 20–25 % 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
Drummond 25 %+
$35 Vol.
20%
Drummond 20–25 %
$35 Vol.
24%
Drummond 15–20 %
$35 Vol.
21%
Drummond 10–15 %
$10 Vol.
18%
Drummond 5–10 %
$0 Vol.
25%
Drummond <5%
$0 Vol.
12%
Mazzei <5%
$0 Vol.
25%
Mazzei 5–10 %
$0 Vol.
24%
Mazzei 10–15 %
$0 Vol.
4%
Mazzei 15–20 %
$25 Vol.
21%
Mazzei 20–25 %
$25 Vol.
20%
Mazzei 25 %+
$25 Vol.
21%
Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The extremely close June Republican primary, where Gentner Drummond edged Mike Mazzei by roughly 1,100 votes out of over 210,000 cast, combined with an early August poll showing the runoff tied at 44 percent, has driven trader pricing toward uncertain or narrow margins of victory. Drummond’s record as attorney general and stronger fundraising among traditional Republicans contrast with Mazzei’s record self-funding exceeding $11 million and endorsement from President Trump, which splits support along “MAGA” versus establishment lines in a low-turnout runoff environment. Recent developments, including an August 3 debate and final campaign finance filings showing continued heavy personal loans and outside spending, reinforce the competitive dynamics ahead of the August 25 vote without a clear frontrunner in statewide surveys.
Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Volume
$190Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The extremely close June Republican primary, where Gentner Drummond edged Mike Mazzei by roughly 1,100 votes out of over 210,000 cast, combined with an early August poll showing the runoff tied at 44 percent, has driven trader pricing toward uncertain or narrow margins of victory. Drummond’s record as attorney general and stronger fundraising among traditional Republicans contrast with Mazzei’s record self-funding exceeding $11 million and endorsement from President Trump, which splits support along “MAGA” versus establishment lines in a low-turnout runoff environment. Recent developments, including an August 3 debate and final campaign finance filings showing continued heavy personal loans and outside spending, reinforce the competitive dynamics ahead of the August 25 vote without a clear frontrunner in statewide surveys.
Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$190Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The extremely close June Republican primary, where Gentner Drummond edged Mike Mazzei by roughly 1,100 votes out of over 210,000 cast, combined with an early August poll showing the runoff tied at 44 percent, has driven trader pricing toward uncertain or narrow margins of victory. Drummond’s record as attorney general and stronger fundraising among traditional Republicans contrast with Mazzei’s record self-funding exceeding $11 million and endorsement from President Trump, which splits support along “MAGA” versus establishment lines in a low-turnout runoff environment. Recent developments, including an August 3 debate and final campaign finance filings showing continued heavy personal loans and outside spending, reinforce the competitive dynamics ahead of the August 25 vote without a clear frontrunner in statewide surveys.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le candidat du Parti républicain remportera-t-il l'élection du gouverneur de l'Oklahoma en 2026 avec une avance de 20% à 25% ?
16%
Oui
Est-ce que Byron Donalds gagnera la primaire républicaine pour le poste de gouverneur de Floride avec une avance de 20 à 25 % ?
99%
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