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Politique·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur des élections législatives suédoises

icon for Vainqueur des élections législatives suédoises
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur des élections législatives suédoises

Parti social-démocrate suédois (S) 91%

Démocrates de Suède (SD) 4.3%

Parti modéré (M) 3.8%

Coalition des citoyens (MED) <1%

Polymarket

$1,099,921 Vol.

Parti social-démocrate suédois (S) 91%

Démocrates de Suède (SD) 4.3%

Parti modéré (M) 3.8%

Coalition des citoyens (MED) <1%

Polymarket

$1,099,921 Vol.

icon for Parti social-démocrate suédois (S)

Parti social-démocrate suédois (S)

$36,038 Vol.

91%

icon for Démocrates de Suède (SD)

Démocrates de Suède (SD)

$513,784 Vol.

4%

icon for Parti modéré (M)

Parti modéré (M)

$380,294 Vol.

4%

icon for Coalition des citoyens (MED)

Coalition des citoyens (MED)

$14,084 Vol.

1%

icon for Parti de gauche (V)

Parti de gauche (V)

$15,128 Vol.

<1%

icon for Démocrates chrétiens (KD)

Démocrates chrétiens (KD)

$14,543 Vol.

<1%

icon for Libéraux (L)

Libéraux (L)

$14,829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Parti du centre (C)

Parti du centre (C)

$16,651 Vol.

<1%

icon for Parti vert (MP)

Parti vert (MP)

$94,570 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Trader consensus prices the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) as a near-lock at 90.5% to secure the most seats in the Riksdag on September 13, 2026, driven by its consistent double-digit polling lead around 33%—nearly double nearest rivals Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 17%—as shown in the latest Verian poll published May 13 amid a 10.7% left bloc advantage over the Tidö government parties. This reflects steady opposition momentum since early 2026, fueled by voter fatigue with the incumbent Moderate-led coalition supported by SD confidence-and-supply, despite recent Moderate campaign pledges on welfare and crime. While S's commanding position aligns with historical late-cycle poll stability in Sweden's proportional system, low-probability shifts could arise from SD or M surges on immigration escalation, economic rebound favoring Tidö, or scandals targeting S leadership.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,099,921
Date de fin
13 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Trader consensus prices the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) as a near-lock at 90.5% to secure the most seats in the Riksdag on September 13, 2026, driven by its consistent double-digit polling lead around 33%—nearly double nearest rivals Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% and Moderates (M) at 17%—as shown in the latest Verian poll published May 13 amid a 10.7% left bloc advantage over the Tidö government parties. This reflects steady opposition momentum since early 2026, fueled by voter fatigue with the incumbent Moderate-led coalition supported by SD confidence-and-supply, despite recent Moderate campaign pledges on welfare and crime. While S's commanding position aligns with historical late-cycle poll stability in Sweden's proportional system, low-probability shifts could arise from SD or M surges on immigration escalation, economic rebound favoring Tidö, or scandals targeting S leadership.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,099,921
Date de fin
13 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur des élections législatives suédoises » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Parti social-démocrate suédois (S) » à 91%, suivi de « Démocrates de Suède (SD) » à 4%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 91¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 91% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur des élections législatives suédoises » a généré $1.1 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 4, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur des élections législatives suédoises », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur des élections législatives suédoises » est « Parti social-démocrate suédois (S) » à 91%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 91% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Démocrates de Suède (SD) » à 4%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur des élections législatives suédoises » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.