Recent polling averages for Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election place the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates comfortably ahead, leaving Centre, Green, Christian Democrats, Left, and Liberals clustered in the 2–7% range where small shifts determine final rankings. This clustering keeps 6th-place probabilities tightly bunched among those five parties, with Centre and Green edging the field on latest surveys while Liberals hover near the 4% threshold that affects seat allocation. The governing bloc's modest decline and the opposition's narrow lead have not yet produced decisive movement among mid-tier parties. Upcoming debates, economic data releases, and late-campaign turnout efforts among swing voters remain the primary variables that could reorder these parties before election night.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlections législatives suédoises : 6e place
Centre Party (C) 31%
Green Party (MP) 31%
Liberals (L) 29%
Christian Democrats (KD) 29%

Centre Party (C)
31%

Green Party (MP)
31%

Liberals (L)
29%

Christian Democrats (KD)
29%

Left Party (V)
25%

Moderate Party (M)
6%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
4%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
3%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
3%
Centre Party (C) 31%
Green Party (MP) 31%
Liberals (L) 29%
Christian Democrats (KD) 29%

Centre Party (C)
31%

Green Party (MP)
31%

Liberals (L)
29%

Christian Democrats (KD)
29%

Left Party (V)
25%

Moderate Party (M)
6%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
4%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
3%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
3%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 5:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election place the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates comfortably ahead, leaving Centre, Green, Christian Democrats, Left, and Liberals clustered in the 2–7% range where small shifts determine final rankings. This clustering keeps 6th-place probabilities tightly bunched among those five parties, with Centre and Green edging the field on latest surveys while Liberals hover near the 4% threshold that affects seat allocation. The governing bloc's modest decline and the opposition's narrow lead have not yet produced decisive movement among mid-tier parties. Upcoming debates, economic data releases, and late-campaign turnout efforts among swing voters remain the primary variables that could reorder these parties before election night.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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