Recent Swedish opinion polls, including the Statistics Sweden survey from late May 2026, show the Social Democratic Party maintaining a clear lead near 32–34 percent, positioning it for first place while the Sweden Democrats and Moderate Party cluster in the high teens for second and third. The Moderate Party’s slight edge in trader consensus for third reflects its marginally lower polling average and the governing Tidö bloc’s overall weakness ahead of the September 13 vote. The Sweden Democrats remain competitive for second but trail in several recent surveys, limiting their probability of finishing lower. Smaller parties register well below 10 percent and show little movement that would alter the top-three ordering. These stable bloc trends since the 2022 election continue to shape market-implied probabilities for the Riksdag result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 55%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 37%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 2.3%
Green Party (MP) 2.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
37%
Moderate Party (M)
55%
Centre Party (C)
1%
Left Party (V)
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
1%
Green Party (MP)
2%
Liberals (L)
1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Moderate Party (M) 55%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 37%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 2.3%
Green Party (MP) 2.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$362 Vol.
2%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$1,479 Vol.
37%
Moderate Party (M)
$1,347 Vol.
55%
Centre Party (C)
$649 Vol.
1%
Left Party (V)
$622 Vol.
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$636 Vol.
1%
Green Party (MP)
$579 Vol.
2%
Liberals (L)
$552 Vol.
1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$735 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls, including the Statistics Sweden survey from late May 2026, show the Social Democratic Party maintaining a clear lead near 32–34 percent, positioning it for first place while the Sweden Democrats and Moderate Party cluster in the high teens for second and third. The Moderate Party’s slight edge in trader consensus for third reflects its marginally lower polling average and the governing Tidö bloc’s overall weakness ahead of the September 13 vote. The Sweden Democrats remain competitive for second but trail in several recent surveys, limiting their probability of finishing lower. Smaller parties register well below 10 percent and show little movement that would alter the top-three ordering. These stable bloc trends since the 2022 election continue to shape market-implied probabilities for the Riksdag result.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Marché ouvert : May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$6,713Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls, including the Statistics Sweden survey from late May 2026, show the Social Democratic Party maintaining a clear lead near 32–34 percent, positioning it for first place while the Sweden Democrats and Moderate Party cluster in the high teens for second and third. The Moderate Party’s slight edge in trader consensus for third reflects its marginally lower polling average and the governing Tidö bloc’s overall weakness ahead of the September 13 vote. The Sweden Democrats remain competitive for second but trail in several recent surveys, limiting their probability of finishing lower. Smaller parties register well below 10 percent and show little movement that would alter the top-three ordering. These stable bloc trends since the 2022 election continue to shape market-implied probabilities for the Riksdag result.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$6,713Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish opinion polls, including the Statistics Sweden survey from late May 2026, show the Social Democratic Party maintaining a clear lead near 32–34 percent, positioning it for first place while the Sweden Democrats and Moderate Party cluster in the high teens for second and third. The Moderate Party’s slight edge in trader consensus for third reflects its marginally lower polling average and the governing Tidö bloc’s overall weakness ahead of the September 13 vote. The Sweden Democrats remain competitive for second but trail in several recent surveys, limiting their probability of finishing lower. Smaller parties register well below 10 percent and show little movement that would alter the top-three ordering. These stable bloc trends since the 2022 election continue to shape market-implied probabilities for the Riksdag result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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