Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20 percent, with the Moderates holding steady in third around 17 percent. This consistent ordering across multiple surveys from Novus, Indikator, and Demoskop reflects stable bloc dynamics, with the centre-left opposition ahead of the Tidö government parties and their Sweden Democrats support base. The Moderates' position as the largest party within the governing bloc, combined with limited recent movement among smaller parties such as the Greens, Centre, or Left, underpins trader consensus on third-place outcomes. No major polling shifts or late-campaign events have altered these relative standings in the past month.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 84%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 15%
Green Party (MP) 1.2%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$24,683 Vol.
$24,683 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
15%

Moderate Party (M)
84%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 84%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 15%
Green Party (MP) 1.2%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$24,683 Vol.
$24,683 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
15%

Moderate Party (M)
84%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Marché ouvert : May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20 percent, with the Moderates holding steady in third around 17 percent. This consistent ordering across multiple surveys from Novus, Indikator, and Demoskop reflects stable bloc dynamics, with the centre-left opposition ahead of the Tidö government parties and their Sweden Democrats support base. The Moderates' position as the largest party within the governing bloc, combined with limited recent movement among smaller parties such as the Greens, Centre, or Left, underpins trader consensus on third-place outcomes. No major polling shifts or late-campaign events have altered these relative standings in the past month.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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