Recent polling trends position the Sweden Democrats as the clear frontrunner for second place in the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, with consistent leads of 2–4 percentage points over the Moderate Party across major surveys through July. The Social Democrats maintain a commanding first-place position near 32%, while SD support has held steady near 20% and Moderates hover around 17%, reflecting limited movement in the past month. The current Tidö-supported government arrangement and coalition dynamics have not altered these relative standings, as voters continue to rank SD ahead in voting intentions. This sustained gap in parliamentary preference surveys underpins the market's strong implied probability for SD in second.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSweden Democrats (SD) 85%
Moderate Party (M) 15%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.6%
Left Party (V) <1%
$31,817 Vol.
$31,817 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
85%
Moderate Party (M)
15%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 85%
Moderate Party (M) 15%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.6%
Left Party (V) <1%
$31,817 Vol.
$31,817 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$2,603 Vol.
2%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$10,606 Vol.
85%
Moderate Party (M)
$6,553 Vol.
15%
Centre Party (C)
$2,173 Vol.
<1%
Left Party (V)
$2,896 Vol.
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$1,803 Vol.
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$1,781 Vol.
<1%
Liberals (L)
$1,713 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$1,689 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling trends position the Sweden Democrats as the clear frontrunner for second place in the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, with consistent leads of 2–4 percentage points over the Moderate Party across major surveys through July. The Social Democrats maintain a commanding first-place position near 32%, while SD support has held steady near 20% and Moderates hover around 17%, reflecting limited movement in the past month. The current Tidö-supported government arrangement and coalition dynamics have not altered these relative standings, as voters continue to rank SD ahead in voting intentions. This sustained gap in parliamentary preference surveys underpins the market's strong implied probability for SD in second.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Marché ouvert : May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$31,817Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling trends position the Sweden Democrats as the clear frontrunner for second place in the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, with consistent leads of 2–4 percentage points over the Moderate Party across major surveys through July. The Social Democrats maintain a commanding first-place position near 32%, while SD support has held steady near 20% and Moderates hover around 17%, reflecting limited movement in the past month. The current Tidö-supported government arrangement and coalition dynamics have not altered these relative standings, as voters continue to rank SD ahead in voting intentions. This sustained gap in parliamentary preference surveys underpins the market's strong implied probability for SD in second.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$31,817Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends position the Sweden Democrats as the clear frontrunner for second place in the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, with consistent leads of 2–4 percentage points over the Moderate Party across major surveys through July. The Social Democrats maintain a commanding first-place position near 32%, while SD support has held steady near 20% and Moderates hover around 17%, reflecting limited movement in the past month. The current Tidö-supported government arrangement and coalition dynamics have not altered these relative standings, as voters continue to rank SD ahead in voting intentions. This sustained gap in parliamentary preference surveys underpins the market's strong implied probability for SD in second.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
82%
Le Parti social-démocrate suédois (S) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections parlementaires suédoises de 2026 ?
99%
Oui
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 110-114 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
39%
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