Recent Swedish opinion polls show the Tidö parties—Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals, backed by the Sweden Democrats—trailing the centre-left Red-Green bloc by roughly 8–12 points, with the opposition projected to secure 53–55% support versus 42–45% for the incumbent grouping. This consistent gap, confirmed across multiple surveys including those from SCB, Novus, and Demoskop in June and July 2026, reflects voter shifts on issues such as crime, the economy, and immigration policy during the current minority government's term. With the September 13 parliamentary election only weeks away, the structural disadvantage in seat projections leaves little room for the Tidö parties to reach the 175-seat majority threshold under current trends. Trader consensus aligns with these polling averages and historical patterns of late-campaign movement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
8% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
Oui
8% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls show the Tidö parties—Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals, backed by the Sweden Democrats—trailing the centre-left Red-Green bloc by roughly 8–12 points, with the opposition projected to secure 53–55% support versus 42–45% for the incumbent grouping. This consistent gap, confirmed across multiple surveys including those from SCB, Novus, and Demoskop in June and July 2026, reflects voter shifts on issues such as crime, the economy, and immigration policy during the current minority government's term. With the September 13 parliamentary election only weeks away, the structural disadvantage in seat projections leaves little room for the Tidö parties to reach the 175-seat majority threshold under current trends. Trader consensus aligns with these polling averages and historical patterns of late-campaign movement.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Marché ouvert : Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$5,115Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls show the Tidö parties—Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals, backed by the Sweden Democrats—trailing the centre-left Red-Green bloc by roughly 8–12 points, with the opposition projected to secure 53–55% support versus 42–45% for the incumbent grouping. This consistent gap, confirmed across multiple surveys including those from SCB, Novus, and Demoskop in June and July 2026, reflects voter shifts on issues such as crime, the economy, and immigration policy during the current minority government's term. With the September 13 parliamentary election only weeks away, the structural disadvantage in seat projections leaves little room for the Tidö parties to reach the 175-seat majority threshold under current trends. Trader consensus aligns with these polling averages and historical patterns of late-campaign movement.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$5,115Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Swedish opinion polls show the Tidö parties—Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals, backed by the Sweden Democrats—trailing the centre-left Red-Green bloc by roughly 8–12 points, with the opposition projected to secure 53–55% support versus 42–45% for the incumbent grouping. This consistent gap, confirmed across multiple surveys including those from SCB, Novus, and Demoskop in June and July 2026, reflects voter shifts on issues such as crime, the economy, and immigration policy during the current minority government's term. With the September 13 parliamentary election only weeks away, the structural disadvantage in seat projections leaves little room for the Tidö parties to reach the 175-seat majority threshold under current trends. Trader consensus aligns with these polling averages and historical patterns of late-campaign movement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le Parti social-démocrate suédois (S) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections parlementaires suédoises de 2026 ?
99%
Oui
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
84%
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
85%
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes