Recent Swedish opinion polls consistently show the Tidö bloc—Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals, backed by the Sweden Democrats—trailing the opposition Red-Green parties by 8–12 points, translating to projected seat totals below the 175 needed for a Riksdag majority. Aggregates from SCB, Ipsos, Demoskop, and Indikator in May 2026 place the governing alignment at roughly 43–46 percent, down from its narrow 2022 edge, while the centre-left bloc holds 52–55 percent. With the September 13 election three months away, these trends have produced limited movement despite ongoing focus on crime, migration, and economic pressures. Traders price the low probability of a Tidö majority as a reflection of this sustained polling gap and the structural challenges of converting current support into sufficient seats under Sweden’s proportional system.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
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NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
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NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls consistently show the Tidö bloc—Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals, backed by the Sweden Democrats—trailing the opposition Red-Green parties by 8–12 points, translating to projected seat totals below the 175 needed for a Riksdag majority. Aggregates from SCB, Ipsos, Demoskop, and Indikator in May 2026 place the governing alignment at roughly 43–46 percent, down from its narrow 2022 edge, while the centre-left bloc holds 52–55 percent. With the September 13 election three months away, these trends have produced limited movement despite ongoing focus on crime, migration, and economic pressures. Traders price the low probability of a Tidö majority as a reflection of this sustained polling gap and the structural challenges of converting current support into sufficient seats under Sweden’s proportional system.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Marché ouvert : Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$821Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls consistently show the Tidö bloc—Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals, backed by the Sweden Democrats—trailing the opposition Red-Green parties by 8–12 points, translating to projected seat totals below the 175 needed for a Riksdag majority. Aggregates from SCB, Ipsos, Demoskop, and Indikator in May 2026 place the governing alignment at roughly 43–46 percent, down from its narrow 2022 edge, while the centre-left bloc holds 52–55 percent. With the September 13 election three months away, these trends have produced limited movement despite ongoing focus on crime, migration, and economic pressures. Traders price the low probability of a Tidö majority as a reflection of this sustained polling gap and the structural challenges of converting current support into sufficient seats under Sweden’s proportional system.
In October 2022, the Swedish political parties Sweden Democrats (SD), Moderate Party (M), Christian Democrats (KD), and Liberals (L) signed the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet) to form a government after the 2022 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the member parties of the Tidö Agreement (SD, M, KD, and L) win a combined total of 175 seats or more in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If voting in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag).
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$821Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 4, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Swedish opinion polls consistently show the Tidö bloc—Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals, backed by the Sweden Democrats—trailing the opposition Red-Green parties by 8–12 points, translating to projected seat totals below the 175 needed for a Riksdag majority. Aggregates from SCB, Ipsos, Demoskop, and Indikator in May 2026 place the governing alignment at roughly 43–46 percent, down from its narrow 2022 edge, while the centre-left bloc holds 52–55 percent. With the September 13 election three months away, these trends have produced limited movement despite ongoing focus on crime, migration, and economic pressures. Traders price the low probability of a Tidö majority as a reflection of this sustained polling gap and the structural challenges of converting current support into sufficient seats under Sweden’s proportional system.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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