Incumbent Republican Rob Bresnahan faces Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti in Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic nominee at 57.5% to 32% for the Republican, reflecting the competitive nature of this freshman-held seat in a district with mixed partisan trends. Cognetti’s background as Scranton mayor and prior federal service has strengthened her position following unopposed primary wins in May, while questions around the incumbent’s financial disclosures have provided Democrats with ongoing lines of attack. Fundraising, voter turnout in the Lehigh Valley and Northeastern Pennsylvania, and broader midterm dynamics remain key variables that could shift probabilities ahead of Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPA-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
PA-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
57%
Parti républicain
32%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$3,631 Vol.
57%
Parti républicain
$2,246 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rob Bresnahan faces Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti in Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic nominee at 57.5% to 32% for the Republican, reflecting the competitive nature of this freshman-held seat in a district with mixed partisan trends. Cognetti’s background as Scranton mayor and prior federal service has strengthened her position following unopposed primary wins in May, while questions around the incumbent’s financial disclosures have provided Democrats with ongoing lines of attack. Fundraising, voter turnout in the Lehigh Valley and Northeastern Pennsylvania, and broader midterm dynamics remain key variables that could shift probabilities ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$5,877Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rob Bresnahan faces Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti in Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic nominee at 57.5% to 32% for the Republican, reflecting the competitive nature of this freshman-held seat in a district with mixed partisan trends. Cognetti’s background as Scranton mayor and prior federal service has strengthened her position following unopposed primary wins in May, while questions around the incumbent’s financial disclosures have provided Democrats with ongoing lines of attack. Fundraising, voter turnout in the Lehigh Valley and Northeastern Pennsylvania, and broader midterm dynamics remain key variables that could shift probabilities ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,877Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rob Bresnahan faces Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti in Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic nominee at 57.5% to 32% for the Republican, reflecting the competitive nature of this freshman-held seat in a district with mixed partisan trends. Cognetti’s background as Scranton mayor and prior federal service has strengthened her position following unopposed primary wins in May, while questions around the incumbent’s financial disclosures have provided Democrats with ongoing lines of attack. Fundraising, voter turnout in the Lehigh Valley and Northeastern Pennsylvania, and broader midterm dynamics remain key variables that could shift probabilities ahead of Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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