Incumbent Republican Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s partisan lean, shown by a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+19 and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024, anchors trader consensus near 97 percent for the Republican nominee. Meuser, first elected in 2018, advanced through the May 19, 2026 Republican primary without opposition, while Democrat Rachel Wallace emerged as the sole major challenger after her primary. No recent polling shifts, fundraising surges, or candidate controversies have altered this outlook. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap include an unexpected national political realignment, a late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or an unusually high Democratic turnout in this rural and exurban area.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPA-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
PA-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$21,279 Vol.
$21,279 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
97%
Parti démocrate
3%
$21,279 Vol.
$21,279 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$13,578 Vol.
97%
Parti démocrate
$7,702 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s partisan lean, shown by a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+19 and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024, anchors trader consensus near 97 percent for the Republican nominee. Meuser, first elected in 2018, advanced through the May 19, 2026 Republican primary without opposition, while Democrat Rachel Wallace emerged as the sole major challenger after her primary. No recent polling shifts, fundraising surges, or candidate controversies have altered this outlook. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap include an unexpected national political realignment, a late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or an unusually high Democratic turnout in this rural and exurban area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$21,279Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s partisan lean, shown by a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+19 and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024, anchors trader consensus near 97 percent for the Republican nominee. Meuser, first elected in 2018, advanced through the May 19, 2026 Republican primary without opposition, while Democrat Rachel Wallace emerged as the sole major challenger after her primary. No recent polling shifts, fundraising surges, or candidate controversies have altered this outlook. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap include an unexpected national political realignment, a late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or an unusually high Democratic turnout in this rural and exurban area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,279Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s partisan lean, shown by a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+19 and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024, anchors trader consensus near 97 percent for the Republican nominee. Meuser, first elected in 2018, advanced through the May 19, 2026 Republican primary without opposition, while Democrat Rachel Wallace emerged as the sole major challenger after her primary. No recent polling shifts, fundraising surges, or candidate controversies have altered this outlook. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap include an unexpected national political realignment, a late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or an unusually high Democratic turnout in this rural and exurban area.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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