Incumbent Republican Dan Meuser faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Republican lean—reflected in Trump’s 38-point 2024 margin and an R+19 partisan voting index—anchors trader consensus around a Republican victory. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the May 19, 2026 primaries in this northeast Pennsylvania seat rated Solid Republican by forecasting outlets. No major shifts in polling, fundraising, or campaign developments have emerged to alter the outlook since the primaries concluded. Scenarios that could narrow the margin or create upset risk include a significant late-cycle national partisan swing, unexpected candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout in rural counties, though the structural advantages make such outcomes improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPA-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
PA-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$21,279 Vol.
$21,279 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
97%
Parti démocrate
3%
$21,279 Vol.
$21,279 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$13,578 Vol.
97%
Parti démocrate
$7,702 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Dan Meuser faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Republican lean—reflected in Trump’s 38-point 2024 margin and an R+19 partisan voting index—anchors trader consensus around a Republican victory. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the May 19, 2026 primaries in this northeast Pennsylvania seat rated Solid Republican by forecasting outlets. No major shifts in polling, fundraising, or campaign developments have emerged to alter the outlook since the primaries concluded. Scenarios that could narrow the margin or create upset risk include a significant late-cycle national partisan swing, unexpected candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout in rural counties, though the structural advantages make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$21,279Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Dan Meuser faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Republican lean—reflected in Trump’s 38-point 2024 margin and an R+19 partisan voting index—anchors trader consensus around a Republican victory. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the May 19, 2026 primaries in this northeast Pennsylvania seat rated Solid Republican by forecasting outlets. No major shifts in polling, fundraising, or campaign developments have emerged to alter the outlook since the primaries concluded. Scenarios that could narrow the margin or create upset risk include a significant late-cycle national partisan swing, unexpected candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout in rural counties, though the structural advantages make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,279Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Dan Meuser faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Republican lean—reflected in Trump’s 38-point 2024 margin and an R+19 partisan voting index—anchors trader consensus around a Republican victory. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the May 19, 2026 primaries in this northeast Pennsylvania seat rated Solid Republican by forecasting outlets. No major shifts in polling, fundraising, or campaign developments have emerged to alter the outlook since the primaries concluded. Scenarios that could narrow the margin or create upset risk include a significant late-cycle national partisan swing, unexpected candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout in rural counties, though the structural advantages make such outcomes improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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