Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider, who won the March 2026 primary and previously secured 60% in the 2024 general election, faces Republican Carl Lambrecht in the November 3, 2026, contest for Illinois’s 10th congressional district. The northern Chicago suburban district’s voter composition and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus around a 95.5% probability for the Democratic nominee. Limited Republican investment or polling activity in this seat, combined with Schneider’s established incumbency advantages, further reinforces the market’s assessment. A late scandal, significant health event, or extreme national political realignment could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district’s structural lean.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre IL-10
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre IL-10
$31,847 Vol.
$31,847 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
96%
Parti républicain
2%
$31,847 Vol.
$31,847 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$21,133 Vol.
96%
Parti républicain
$10,713 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider, who won the March 2026 primary and previously secured 60% in the 2024 general election, faces Republican Carl Lambrecht in the November 3, 2026, contest for Illinois’s 10th congressional district. The northern Chicago suburban district’s voter composition and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus around a 95.5% probability for the Democratic nominee. Limited Republican investment or polling activity in this seat, combined with Schneider’s established incumbency advantages, further reinforces the market’s assessment. A late scandal, significant health event, or extreme national political realignment could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$31,847Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider, who won the March 2026 primary and previously secured 60% in the 2024 general election, faces Republican Carl Lambrecht in the November 3, 2026, contest for Illinois’s 10th congressional district. The northern Chicago suburban district’s voter composition and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus around a 95.5% probability for the Democratic nominee. Limited Republican investment or polling activity in this seat, combined with Schneider’s established incumbency advantages, further reinforces the market’s assessment. A late scandal, significant health event, or extreme national political realignment could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,847Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider, who won the March 2026 primary and previously secured 60% in the 2024 general election, faces Republican Carl Lambrecht in the November 3, 2026, contest for Illinois’s 10th congressional district. The northern Chicago suburban district’s voter composition and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus around a 95.5% probability for the Democratic nominee. Limited Republican investment or polling activity in this seat, combined with Schneider’s established incumbency advantages, further reinforces the market’s assessment. A late scandal, significant health event, or extreme national political realignment could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district’s structural lean.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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