Yvette Clarke's status as the entrenched Democratic incumbent in New York's 9th congressional district underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring her party. The Brooklyn-based seat has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, and Clarke secured her party's nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with roughly 69 percent of the vote. Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and historical turnout patterns heavily favor the incumbent. Forecasters classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, acute national partisan swing toward Republicans in the 2026 midterms, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout among key Brooklyn demographics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNY-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NY-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$51,123 Vol.
$51,123 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
96%
Parti républicain
5%
$51,123 Vol.
$51,123 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$19,322 Vol.
96%
Parti républicain
$31,802 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke's status as the entrenched Democratic incumbent in New York's 9th congressional district underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring her party. The Brooklyn-based seat has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, and Clarke secured her party's nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with roughly 69 percent of the vote. Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and historical turnout patterns heavily favor the incumbent. Forecasters classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, acute national partisan swing toward Republicans in the 2026 midterms, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout among key Brooklyn demographics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$51,123Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke's status as the entrenched Democratic incumbent in New York's 9th congressional district underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring her party. The Brooklyn-based seat has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, and Clarke secured her party's nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with roughly 69 percent of the vote. Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and historical turnout patterns heavily favor the incumbent. Forecasters classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, acute national partisan swing toward Republicans in the 2026 midterms, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout among key Brooklyn demographics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$51,123Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Yvette Clarke's status as the entrenched Democratic incumbent in New York's 9th congressional district underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring her party. The Brooklyn-based seat has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, and Clarke secured her party's nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with roughly 69 percent of the vote. Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and historical turnout patterns heavily favor the incumbent. Forecasters classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, acute national partisan swing toward Republicans in the 2026 midterms, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout among key Brooklyn demographics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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