Redistricting has transformed Texas's 9th congressional district into an open seat with a Republican lean, shifting it from long-held Democratic territory represented by Al Green to eastern Houston suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voting Index favoring the GOP. Both parties completed nominations following March primaries and a May Republican runoff, with Alex Mealer securing the Republican nod over Briscoe Cain and Leticia Gutierrez advancing for Democrats. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's altered electoral math and limited competitive history under the new lines. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign developments, though the current structure positions the Republican nominee as the consensus favorite among traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
80%
Parti démocrate
17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$6,497 Vol.
80%
Parti démocrate
$3,404 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has transformed Texas's 9th congressional district into an open seat with a Republican lean, shifting it from long-held Democratic territory represented by Al Green to eastern Houston suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voting Index favoring the GOP. Both parties completed nominations following March primaries and a May Republican runoff, with Alex Mealer securing the Republican nod over Briscoe Cain and Leticia Gutierrez advancing for Democrats. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's altered electoral math and limited competitive history under the new lines. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign developments, though the current structure positions the Republican nominee as the consensus favorite among traders.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$9,902Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has transformed Texas's 9th congressional district into an open seat with a Republican lean, shifting it from long-held Democratic territory represented by Al Green to eastern Houston suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voting Index favoring the GOP. Both parties completed nominations following March primaries and a May Republican runoff, with Alex Mealer securing the Republican nod over Briscoe Cain and Leticia Gutierrez advancing for Democrats. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's altered electoral math and limited competitive history under the new lines. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign developments, though the current structure positions the Republican nominee as the consensus favorite among traders.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,902Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has transformed Texas's 9th congressional district into an open seat with a Republican lean, shifting it from long-held Democratic territory represented by Al Green to eastern Houston suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voting Index favoring the GOP. Both parties completed nominations following March primaries and a May Republican runoff, with Alex Mealer securing the Republican nod over Briscoe Cain and Leticia Gutierrez advancing for Democrats. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's altered electoral math and limited competitive history under the new lines. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign developments, though the current structure positions the Republican nominee as the consensus favorite among traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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