Maine’s 2nd Congressional District remains competitive following Democratic Rep. Jared Golden’s retirement, creating an open seat in a rural, R+4 district that has favored Republicans in recent presidential cycles. Former Gov. Paul LePage secured the Republican nomination with strong name recognition and fundraising, while state auditor Matt Dunlap prevailed in a ranked-choice Democratic primary. Current trader consensus at 58% for Republicans and 42% for Democrats reflects LePage’s structural edges alongside Dunlap’s local government experience and national Democratic support. Polling shows narrow margins, with outcomes likely hinging on turnout in key counties, candidate debates, and any shifts in economic or national midterm sentiment before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
58%
Parti démocrate
43%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$5,782 Vol.
58%
Parti démocrate
$2,263 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd Congressional District remains competitive following Democratic Rep. Jared Golden’s retirement, creating an open seat in a rural, R+4 district that has favored Republicans in recent presidential cycles. Former Gov. Paul LePage secured the Republican nomination with strong name recognition and fundraising, while state auditor Matt Dunlap prevailed in a ranked-choice Democratic primary. Current trader consensus at 58% for Republicans and 42% for Democrats reflects LePage’s structural edges alongside Dunlap’s local government experience and national Democratic support. Polling shows narrow margins, with outcomes likely hinging on turnout in key counties, candidate debates, and any shifts in economic or national midterm sentiment before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$8,044Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd Congressional District remains competitive following Democratic Rep. Jared Golden’s retirement, creating an open seat in a rural, R+4 district that has favored Republicans in recent presidential cycles. Former Gov. Paul LePage secured the Republican nomination with strong name recognition and fundraising, while state auditor Matt Dunlap prevailed in a ranked-choice Democratic primary. Current trader consensus at 58% for Republicans and 42% for Democrats reflects LePage’s structural edges alongside Dunlap’s local government experience and national Democratic support. Polling shows narrow margins, with outcomes likely hinging on turnout in key counties, candidate debates, and any shifts in economic or national midterm sentiment before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,044Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Maine’s 2nd Congressional District remains competitive following Democratic Rep. Jared Golden’s retirement, creating an open seat in a rural, R+4 district that has favored Republicans in recent presidential cycles. Former Gov. Paul LePage secured the Republican nomination with strong name recognition and fundraising, while state auditor Matt Dunlap prevailed in a ranked-choice Democratic primary. Current trader consensus at 58% for Republicans and 42% for Democrats reflects LePage’s structural edges alongside Dunlap’s local government experience and national Democratic support. Polling shows narrow margins, with outcomes likely hinging on turnout in key counties, candidate debates, and any shifts in economic or national midterm sentiment before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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