Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III holds Alaska’s at-large House seat following his 2024 victory and enters the 2026 cycle as the clear frontrunner. Recent polling shows him leading independent Bill Hill by double digits in most surveys and by four points in the latest August test, while the leading Democrat, Rev. Matt Schultz, withdrew in July. Alaska’s top-four primary on August 18 and subsequent ranked-choice general election favor the Republican in a state that supported the GOP presidential nominee by double digits in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting Begich’s incumbency advantage, fundraising edge, and limited organized opposition heading into the fall campaign. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and polling factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre AK-AL
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre AK-AL
$30,655 Vol.
$30,655 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
84%
Parti démocrate
16%
$30,655 Vol.
$30,655 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$6,509 Vol.
84%
Parti démocrate
$24,146 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III holds Alaska’s at-large House seat following his 2024 victory and enters the 2026 cycle as the clear frontrunner. Recent polling shows him leading independent Bill Hill by double digits in most surveys and by four points in the latest August test, while the leading Democrat, Rev. Matt Schultz, withdrew in July. Alaska’s top-four primary on August 18 and subsequent ranked-choice general election favor the Republican in a state that supported the GOP presidential nominee by double digits in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting Begich’s incumbency advantage, fundraising edge, and limited organized opposition heading into the fall campaign. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and polling factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Volume
$30,655Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III holds Alaska’s at-large House seat following his 2024 victory and enters the 2026 cycle as the clear frontrunner. Recent polling shows him leading independent Bill Hill by double digits in most surveys and by four points in the latest August test, while the leading Democrat, Rev. Matt Schultz, withdrew in July. Alaska’s top-four primary on August 18 and subsequent ranked-choice general election favor the Republican in a state that supported the GOP presidential nominee by double digits in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting Begich’s incumbency advantage, fundraising edge, and limited organized opposition heading into the fall campaign. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and polling factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,655Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III holds Alaska’s at-large House seat following his 2024 victory and enters the 2026 cycle as the clear frontrunner. Recent polling shows him leading independent Bill Hill by double digits in most surveys and by four points in the latest August test, while the leading Democrat, Rev. Matt Schultz, withdrew in July. Alaska’s top-four primary on August 18 and subsequent ranked-choice general election favor the Republican in a state that supported the GOP presidential nominee by double digits in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting Begich’s incumbency advantage, fundraising edge, and limited organized opposition heading into the fall campaign. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and polling factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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