Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its voter base across Mobile, Baldwin, and surrounding counties, with consistent results favoring the party in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Recent redistricting and the departure of the prior incumbent for a Senate bid prompted an August 11 Republican primary to select the nominee, while the Democratic side features limited opposition. These structural factors underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A late national partisan shift, major candidate scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
AL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$40,456 Vol.
$40,456 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
3%
$40,456 Vol.
$40,456 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$19,124 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$21,332 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its voter base across Mobile, Baldwin, and surrounding counties, with consistent results favoring the party in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Recent redistricting and the departure of the prior incumbent for a Senate bid prompted an August 11 Republican primary to select the nominee, while the Democratic side features limited opposition. These structural factors underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A late national partisan shift, major candidate scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Volume
$40,456Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its voter base across Mobile, Baldwin, and surrounding counties, with consistent results favoring the party in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Recent redistricting and the departure of the prior incumbent for a Senate bid prompted an August 11 Republican primary to select the nominee, while the Democratic side features limited opposition. These structural factors underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A late national partisan shift, major candidate scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,456Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its voter base across Mobile, Baldwin, and surrounding counties, with consistent results favoring the party in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Recent redistricting and the departure of the prior incumbent for a Senate bid prompted an August 11 Republican primary to select the nominee, while the Democratic side features limited opposition. These structural factors underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A late national partisan shift, major candidate scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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