Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 93.5% for Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's R+23 partisan lean—the 15th most Republican nationwide—and incumbent Frank Lucas's strong re-election position since 1994. Lucas, with over $841,000 cash on hand as of late March, faces a rematch with Wade Burleson in the June 16 Republican primary, whom he previously defeated handily (73% in 2024 primary, 61% in 2022). Democratic primary contenders Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson show negligible fundraising, underscoring weak opposition in this safe Republican seat per Cook and Sabato ratings. Scenarios to challenge include a primary upset, major scandal, or unprecedented national Democratic wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOK-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
OK-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$83,444 Vol.
$83,444 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
4%
$83,444 Vol.
$83,444 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$46,081 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$37,363 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 93.5% for Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's R+23 partisan lean—the 15th most Republican nationwide—and incumbent Frank Lucas's strong re-election position since 1994. Lucas, with over $841,000 cash on hand as of late March, faces a rematch with Wade Burleson in the June 16 Republican primary, whom he previously defeated handily (73% in 2024 primary, 61% in 2022). Democratic primary contenders Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson show negligible fundraising, underscoring weak opposition in this safe Republican seat per Cook and Sabato ratings. Scenarios to challenge include a primary upset, major scandal, or unprecedented national Democratic wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$83,444Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 93.5% for Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's R+23 partisan lean—the 15th most Republican nationwide—and incumbent Frank Lucas's strong re-election position since 1994. Lucas, with over $841,000 cash on hand as of late March, faces a rematch with Wade Burleson in the June 16 Republican primary, whom he previously defeated handily (73% in 2024 primary, 61% in 2022). Democratic primary contenders Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson show negligible fundraising, underscoring weak opposition in this safe Republican seat per Cook and Sabato ratings. Scenarios to challenge include a primary upset, major scandal, or unprecedented national Democratic wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$83,444Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 93.5% for Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's R+23 partisan lean—the 15th most Republican nationwide—and incumbent Frank Lucas's strong re-election position since 1994. Lucas, with over $841,000 cash on hand as of late March, faces a rematch with Wade Burleson in the June 16 Republican primary, whom he previously defeated handily (73% in 2024 primary, 61% in 2022). Democratic primary contenders Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson show negligible fundraising, underscoring weak opposition in this safe Republican seat per Cook and Sabato ratings. Scenarios to challenge include a primary upset, major scandal, or unprecedented national Democratic wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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