**The open Massachusetts 6th congressional district seat, vacated by Rep. Seth Moulton for his U.S. Senate primary challenge against Sen. Ed Markey, anchors trader consensus at 95.4% for the Democratic Party ahead of the September 1 primaries and November 3 general election.** This solidly Democratic district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11 and a history of double-digit Democratic margins, features a crowded primary field including Dan Koh and others, contrasting a thin Republican lineup headlined by Army veteran Micah Jones, who entered in February. No recent polling or developments indicate competitiveness, reinforcing the partisan baseline. While a post-primary Democratic nominee scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or extraordinary GOP turnout could theoretically challenge this, such shifts remain highly improbable given the district's entrenched blue lean and lack of battleground dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$14,682 Vol.
$14,682 Vol.
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
3%
$14,682 Vol.
$14,682 Vol.
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The open Massachusetts 6th congressional district seat, vacated by Rep. Seth Moulton for his U.S. Senate primary challenge against Sen. Ed Markey, anchors trader consensus at 95.4% for the Democratic Party ahead of the September 1 primaries and November 3 general election.** This solidly Democratic district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11 and a history of double-digit Democratic margins, features a crowded primary field including Dan Koh and others, contrasting a thin Republican lineup headlined by Army veteran Micah Jones, who entered in February. No recent polling or developments indicate competitiveness, reinforcing the partisan baseline. While a post-primary Democratic nominee scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or extraordinary GOP turnout could theoretically challenge this, such shifts remain highly improbable given the district's entrenched blue lean and lack of battleground dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes