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icon for Voté vainqueur du tour de finale primaire du Sénat de l'Alaska ?
Élections·Élection Américaine

Voté vainqueur du tour de finale primaire du Sénat de l'Alaska ?

icon for Voté vainqueur du tour de finale primaire du Sénat de l'Alaska ?
Élections·Élection Américaine

Voté vainqueur du tour de finale primaire du Sénat de l'Alaska ?

Mary Peltola 91.3%

Sén. Dan S. Sullivan 8.3%

David Leslie <1%

Shirley Saucerman <1%

Polymarket

$44,847 Vol.

Mary Peltola 91.3%

Sén. Dan S. Sullivan 8.3%

David Leslie <1%

Shirley Saucerman <1%

Polymarket

$44,847 Vol.

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$17,655 Vol.

91%

icon for Sén. Dan S. Sullivan

Sén. Dan S. Sullivan

$10,816 Vol.

8%

icon for David Leslie

David Leslie

$3,015 Vol.

<1%

Shirley Saucerman

$2,435 Vol.

<1%

icon for Richard Grayson

Richard Grayson

$1,045 Vol.

<1%

Richard Benedict Mayers

$947 Vol.

<1%

Earl D. "Skip" Southworth

$969 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dustin Darden

Dustin Darden

$705 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carol Hafner

Carol Hafner

$752 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gerald L. Heikes

Gerald L. Heikes

$502 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dan J. Sullivan

Dan J. Sullivan

$1,493 Vol.

<1%

Fred C. Grauberger

$1,713 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sid Hill

Sid Hill

$550 Vol.

<1%

icon for Scott Kohlhaas

Scott Kohlhaas

$539 Vol.

<1%

Heather McElwain

$1,077 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reece Roberts

Reece Roberts

$634 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Mary Peltola holds a commanding lead in the Alaska Senate primary as the sole high-profile Democrat in a crowded field of 16 candidates ahead of the August 18 top-four primary. Her strong fundraising advantage, statewide name recognition from prior congressional service, and organized support have positioned her as the clear frontrunner for the most votes under Alaska's ranked-choice and advancement rules. Incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan faces vote fragmentation from multiple GOP challengers, including a same-named candidate, limiting his primary support. Traders price minor candidates near zero due to negligible visibility and resources. A late surge by an unpolled contender or unusually high turnout among specific voting blocs could theoretically disrupt the outcome, though no recent polling or developments indicate such shifts are imminent.

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Volume
$44,847
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Mary Peltola holds a commanding lead in the Alaska Senate primary as the sole high-profile Democrat in a crowded field of 16 candidates ahead of the August 18 top-four primary. Her strong fundraising advantage, statewide name recognition from prior congressional service, and organized support have positioned her as the clear frontrunner for the most votes under Alaska's ranked-choice and advancement rules. Incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan faces vote fragmentation from multiple GOP challengers, including a same-named candidate, limiting his primary support. Traders price minor candidates near zero due to negligible visibility and resources. A late surge by an unpolled contender or unusually high turnout among specific voting blocs could theoretically disrupt the outcome, though no recent polling or developments indicate such shifts are imminent.

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Volume
$44,847
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.

Connexes

icon for Mary Peltola va-t-elle remporter la primaire sénatoriale de l'Alaska avec une avance de 3 à 6 % ?

Mary Peltola va-t-elle remporter la primaire sénatoriale de l'Alaska avec une avance de 3 à 6 % ?

43%
Oui
icon for Mary Peltola va-t-elle remporter l'élection sénatoriale en Alaska en 2026 ?

Mary Peltola va-t-elle remporter l'élection sénatoriale en Alaska en 2026 ?

51%
Oui
icon for Tom Begich arrivera-t-il en tête de la primaire du gouverneur de l'Alaska en 2026 ?

Tom Begich arrivera-t-il en tête de la primaire du gouverneur de l'Alaska en 2026 ?

61%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Voté vainqueur du tour de finale primaire du Sénat de l'Alaska ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 16 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Mary Peltola » à 91%, suivi de « Sén. Dan S. Sullivan » à 8%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 91¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 91% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Voté vainqueur du tour de finale primaire du Sénat de l'Alaska ? » a généré $44.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 1, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Voté vainqueur du tour de finale primaire du Sénat de l'Alaska ? », parcourez les 16 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Voté vainqueur du tour de finale primaire du Sénat de l'Alaska ? » est « Mary Peltola » à 91%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 91% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Sén. Dan S. Sullivan » à 8%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Voté vainqueur du tour de finale primaire du Sénat de l'Alaska ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.