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Politique·Rob Sand

Sénat de l'Iowa et gouverneur Combo

icon for Sénat de l'Iowa et gouverneur Combo
Politique·Rob Sand

Sénat de l'Iowa et gouverneur Combo

Victoire totale des démocrates 37%

Les démocrates gagnent le gouvernorat, les républicains gagnent le Sénat 30%

Victoire totale des Républicains 28%

Les Républicains gagnent le Gouverneur, les Démocrates gagnent le Sénat 1.8%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Victoire totale des démocrates 37%

Les démocrates gagnent le gouvernorat, les républicains gagnent le Sénat 30%

Victoire totale des Républicains 28%

Les Républicains gagnent le Gouverneur, les Démocrates gagnent le Sénat 1.8%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Victoire totale des démocrates

$751 Vol.

37%

Les démocrates gagnent le gouvernorat, les républicains gagnent le Sénat

$2,340 Vol.

30%

Victoire totale des Républicains

$1,564 Vol.

28%

Les Républicains gagnent le Gouverneur, les Démocrates gagnent le Sénat

$341 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling shows the Iowa Senate race between Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson and Democrat state Rep. Josh Turek remains a toss-up, with aggregates placing Hinson narrowly ahead around 47-48% to Turek’s 45-46%, while the open gubernatorial contest favors Democrat state Auditor Rob Sand over Republican Zach Lahn by roughly 5 points in most surveys. Both seats opened after Republicans declined to seek another term, creating opportunities for competitive challenges in a state that has trended Republican but features strong Democratic nominees with statewide profiles and fundraising edges. Cook Political Report ratings reflect this dynamic, shifting the Senate contest to toss-up and the governor race to lean Democrat. Trader consensus in the combo market prices the likelihood of split results or a Democratic sweep highest, consistent with the separate races’ narrow margins and the potential for correlated turnout effects in November.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$4,996
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling shows the Iowa Senate race between Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson and Democrat state Rep. Josh Turek remains a toss-up, with aggregates placing Hinson narrowly ahead around 47-48% to Turek’s 45-46%, while the open gubernatorial contest favors Democrat state Auditor Rob Sand over Republican Zach Lahn by roughly 5 points in most surveys. Both seats opened after Republicans declined to seek another term, creating opportunities for competitive challenges in a state that has trended Republican but features strong Democratic nominees with statewide profiles and fundraising edges. Cook Political Report ratings reflect this dynamic, shifting the Senate contest to toss-up and the governor race to lean Democrat. Trader consensus in the combo market prices the likelihood of split results or a Democratic sweep highest, consistent with the separate races’ narrow margins and the potential for correlated turnout effects in November.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$4,996
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Connexes

icon for Les démocrates vont-ils remporter les élections au Sénat et à la gouvernance du Minnesota ?

Les démocrates vont-ils remporter les élections au Sénat et à la gouvernance du Minnesota ?

90%
Oui
icon for Les Républicains vont-ils rafler les élections au Sénat et au poste de gouverneur du Kansas ?

Les Républicains vont-ils rafler les élections au Sénat et au poste de gouverneur du Kansas ?

59%
Oui
icon for Les républicains vont-ils gagner l'élection du gouverneur du New Hampshire et les démocrates gagner l'élection sénatoriale du New Hampshire ?

Les républicains vont-ils gagner l'élection du gouverneur du New Hampshire et les démocrates gagner l'élection sénatoriale du New Hampshire ?

72%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Sénat de l'Iowa et gouverneur Combo » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Victoire totale des démocrates » à 37%, suivi de « Les démocrates gagnent le gouvernorat, les républicains gagnent le Sénat » à 30%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 37¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Sénat de l'Iowa et gouverneur Combo » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 11, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Sénat de l'Iowa et gouverneur Combo », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Sénat de l'Iowa et gouverneur Combo » est « Victoire totale des démocrates » à 37%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Les démocrates gagnent le gouvernorat, les républicains gagnent le Sénat » à 30%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Sénat de l'Iowa et gouverneur Combo » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.