California's 39th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean rooted in its Inland Empire voter base and consistent partisan voting patterns, including a 53-44 presidential margin in the prior cycle. Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano, redistricted into the seat in 2022 and unopposed in the June 2026 primary, faces Republican Steve Manos in the November general election. Cook Political Report classifies the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's registration edge and historical results that have favored the party by double digits. Trader pricing at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or recent polling shifts. Potential disruptors include an unforeseen national Republican midterm surge, incumbent retirement or scandal, or boundary changes, though none are currently indicated within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-39 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-39 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$48,753 Vol.
$48,753 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
3%
$48,753 Vol.
$48,753 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$32,413 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$16,339 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 39th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean rooted in its Inland Empire voter base and consistent partisan voting patterns, including a 53-44 presidential margin in the prior cycle. Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano, redistricted into the seat in 2022 and unopposed in the June 2026 primary, faces Republican Steve Manos in the November general election. Cook Political Report classifies the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's registration edge and historical results that have favored the party by double digits. Trader pricing at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or recent polling shifts. Potential disruptors include an unforeseen national Republican midterm surge, incumbent retirement or scandal, or boundary changes, though none are currently indicated within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$48,753Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 39th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean rooted in its Inland Empire voter base and consistent partisan voting patterns, including a 53-44 presidential margin in the prior cycle. Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano, redistricted into the seat in 2022 and unopposed in the June 2026 primary, faces Republican Steve Manos in the November general election. Cook Political Report classifies the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's registration edge and historical results that have favored the party by double digits. Trader pricing at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or recent polling shifts. Potential disruptors include an unforeseen national Republican midterm surge, incumbent retirement or scandal, or boundary changes, though none are currently indicated within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,753Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 39th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean rooted in its Inland Empire voter base and consistent partisan voting patterns, including a 53-44 presidential margin in the prior cycle. Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano, redistricted into the seat in 2022 and unopposed in the June 2026 primary, faces Republican Steve Manos in the November general election. Cook Political Report classifies the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's registration edge and historical results that have favored the party by double digits. Trader pricing at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or recent polling shifts. Potential disruptors include an unforeseen national Republican midterm surge, incumbent retirement or scandal, or boundary changes, though none are currently indicated within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes