Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne seeks re-election in Texas’s 24th congressional district against Democratic nominee Kevin Burge, with the November 2026 general election set after both parties completed primaries and a May Democratic runoff. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and favored Donald Trump by a 57-41 margin under the current map, aligning with Van Duyne’s prior 21-point victory. These structural advantages and the district’s suburban Dallas composition sustain trader consensus around an 85% Republican probability. Limited recent movement stems from routine candidate filings and primary outcomes rather than competitive polling shifts or major endorsements that might narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection de la maison TX-24
Vainqueur de l'élection de la maison TX-24
$56,421 Vol.
$56,421 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
85%
Parti démocrate
15%
$56,421 Vol.
$56,421 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$34,168 Vol.
85%
Parti démocrate
$22,253 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne seeks re-election in Texas’s 24th congressional district against Democratic nominee Kevin Burge, with the November 2026 general election set after both parties completed primaries and a May Democratic runoff. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and favored Donald Trump by a 57-41 margin under the current map, aligning with Van Duyne’s prior 21-point victory. These structural advantages and the district’s suburban Dallas composition sustain trader consensus around an 85% Republican probability. Limited recent movement stems from routine candidate filings and primary outcomes rather than competitive polling shifts or major endorsements that might narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$56,421Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne seeks re-election in Texas’s 24th congressional district against Democratic nominee Kevin Burge, with the November 2026 general election set after both parties completed primaries and a May Democratic runoff. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and favored Donald Trump by a 57-41 margin under the current map, aligning with Van Duyne’s prior 21-point victory. These structural advantages and the district’s suburban Dallas composition sustain trader consensus around an 85% Republican probability. Limited recent movement stems from routine candidate filings and primary outcomes rather than competitive polling shifts or major endorsements that might narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$56,421Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne seeks re-election in Texas’s 24th congressional district against Democratic nominee Kevin Burge, with the November 2026 general election set after both parties completed primaries and a May Democratic runoff. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and favored Donald Trump by a 57-41 margin under the current map, aligning with Van Duyne’s prior 21-point victory. These structural advantages and the district’s suburban Dallas composition sustain trader consensus around an 85% Republican probability. Limited recent movement stems from routine candidate filings and primary outcomes rather than competitive polling shifts or major endorsements that might narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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