The New Hampshire 2nd congressional district carries a modest Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Maggie Goodlander, elected in 2024, benefits from this structural advantage and early polling leads, including a 48-36 percent edge over likely Republican challenger Lily Tang Williams in March 2026 surveys. With the September 8 primary still months away and no major shifts in voter sentiment or candidate developments in recent weeks, traders assign the Democratic Party an 89.7 percent implied probability of holding the seat in the November 2026 general election. The Republican Party’s lower odds align with the district’s historical voting patterns and the absence of any overriding national or local factors that would alter the current balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNH-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NH-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
90%
Parti républicain
12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$537 Vol.
90%
Parti républicain
$3,967 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The New Hampshire 2nd congressional district carries a modest Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Maggie Goodlander, elected in 2024, benefits from this structural advantage and early polling leads, including a 48-36 percent edge over likely Republican challenger Lily Tang Williams in March 2026 surveys. With the September 8 primary still months away and no major shifts in voter sentiment or candidate developments in recent weeks, traders assign the Democratic Party an 89.7 percent implied probability of holding the seat in the November 2026 general election. The Republican Party’s lower odds align with the district’s historical voting patterns and the absence of any overriding national or local factors that would alter the current balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$4,504Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The New Hampshire 2nd congressional district carries a modest Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Maggie Goodlander, elected in 2024, benefits from this structural advantage and early polling leads, including a 48-36 percent edge over likely Republican challenger Lily Tang Williams in March 2026 surveys. With the September 8 primary still months away and no major shifts in voter sentiment or candidate developments in recent weeks, traders assign the Democratic Party an 89.7 percent implied probability of holding the seat in the November 2026 general election. The Republican Party’s lower odds align with the district’s historical voting patterns and the absence of any overriding national or local factors that would alter the current balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$4,504Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The New Hampshire 2nd congressional district carries a modest Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Maggie Goodlander, elected in 2024, benefits from this structural advantage and early polling leads, including a 48-36 percent edge over likely Republican challenger Lily Tang Williams in March 2026 surveys. With the September 8 primary still months away and no major shifts in voter sentiment or candidate developments in recent weeks, traders assign the Democratic Party an 89.7 percent implied probability of holding the seat in the November 2026 general election. The Republican Party’s lower odds align with the district’s historical voting patterns and the absence of any overriding national or local factors that would alter the current balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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