New Democracy maintains its position as the frontrunner in Greek parliamentary polling averages ahead of the next election, reflecting the party's incumbency advantages, recent tax measures, and migration policy actions. Opposition fragmentation continues to limit any single challenger's path, with emerging groupings such as ELAS drawing support while traditional parties including PASOK-KINAL and SYRIZA remain divided. Trader consensus assigns ND the highest implied probability of finishing first, consistent with patterns where the governing party benefits from split opposition votes under Greece's electoral system. Upcoming developments that could shift these probabilities include further opposition realignments, economic indicators, or coalition signals ahead of the 2027 vote window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourND 63%
ELAS 41%
EL 39%
PASOK-KINAL 21%

ND
63%

ELAS
41%

EL
39%

PASOK-KINAL
21%

ELPIDA
19%

PE
18%

SYRIZA
2%

KKE
2%

NIKI
2%
ND 63%
ELAS 41%
EL 39%
PASOK-KINAL 21%

ND
63%

ELAS
41%

EL
39%

PASOK-KINAL
21%

ELPIDA
19%

PE
18%

SYRIZA
2%

KKE
2%

NIKI
2%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Hellenic Parliament as a result of the next Greek parliamentary election.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Greek government by December 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Greek government.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Marché ouvert : Jul 14, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Hellenic Parliament as a result of the next Greek parliamentary election.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Greek government by December 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Greek government.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...New Democracy maintains its position as the frontrunner in Greek parliamentary polling averages ahead of the next election, reflecting the party's incumbency advantages, recent tax measures, and migration policy actions. Opposition fragmentation continues to limit any single challenger's path, with emerging groupings such as ELAS drawing support while traditional parties including PASOK-KINAL and SYRIZA remain divided. Trader consensus assigns ND the highest implied probability of finishing first, consistent with patterns where the governing party benefits from split opposition votes under Greece's electoral system. Upcoming developments that could shift these probabilities include further opposition realignments, economic indicators, or coalition signals ahead of the 2027 vote window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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