Traders view the MI-08 Republican primary as highly competitive ahead of the August 4 vote, with no public polling available to clarify support levels among Amir Hassan, Alfred Lemmo, and Thomas J. Smith. Hassan holds a notable fundraising edge and received a late-June endorsement from President Trump, along with backing from several congressional Republicans and a Detroit News editorial nod, positioning him as the frontrunner in name recognition. Lemmo and Smith remain active challengers with limited visibility, keeping the field fragmented in a low-turnout primary where voter outreach and last-minute shifts could alter outcomes. These dynamics sustain tight market pricing until clearer signals emerge closer to election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAmir Hassan 85%
Alfred Lemmo 39%
Thomas J. Smith 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
Amir Hassan
85%
Alfred Lemmo
39%
Thomas J. Smith
38%
Amir Hassan 85%
Alfred Lemmo 39%
Thomas J. Smith 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
Amir Hassan
$0 Vol.
85%
Alfred Lemmo
$0 Vol.
39%
Thomas J. Smith
$0 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Traders view the MI-08 Republican primary as highly competitive ahead of the August 4 vote, with no public polling available to clarify support levels among Amir Hassan, Alfred Lemmo, and Thomas J. Smith. Hassan holds a notable fundraising edge and received a late-June endorsement from President Trump, along with backing from several congressional Republicans and a Detroit News editorial nod, positioning him as the frontrunner in name recognition. Lemmo and Smith remain active challengers with limited visibility, keeping the field fragmented in a low-turnout primary where voter outreach and last-minute shifts could alter outcomes. These dynamics sustain tight market pricing until clearer signals emerge closer to election day.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 9:42 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 9:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Traders view the MI-08 Republican primary as highly competitive ahead of the August 4 vote, with no public polling available to clarify support levels among Amir Hassan, Alfred Lemmo, and Thomas J. Smith. Hassan holds a notable fundraising edge and received a late-June endorsement from President Trump, along with backing from several congressional Republicans and a Detroit News editorial nod, positioning him as the frontrunner in name recognition. Lemmo and Smith remain active challengers with limited visibility, keeping the field fragmented in a low-turnout primary where voter outreach and last-minute shifts could alter outcomes. These dynamics sustain tight market pricing until clearer signals emerge closer to election day.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 9:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the MI-08 Republican primary as highly competitive ahead of the August 4 vote, with no public polling available to clarify support levels among Amir Hassan, Alfred Lemmo, and Thomas J. Smith. Hassan holds a notable fundraising edge and received a late-June endorsement from President Trump, along with backing from several congressional Republicans and a Detroit News editorial nod, positioning him as the frontrunner in name recognition. Lemmo and Smith remain active challengers with limited visibility, keeping the field fragmented in a low-turnout primary where voter outreach and last-minute shifts could alter outcomes. These dynamics sustain tight market pricing until clearer signals emerge closer to election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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