South Carolina’s solidly Republican electorate and the state’s lack of a Democratic Senate victory since 1998 continue to anchor trader expectations for a GOP hold. Darline Graham secured the Republican nomination in the August 25 runoff after her brother Lindsey’s death triggered a compressed special primary process, benefiting from President Trump’s endorsement and associated super PAC spending. Recent polling averages show her leading Democrat Annie Andrews by roughly seven points, consistent with the state’s 2024 presidential margin and the absence of major late shifts. While Andrews has highlighted economic and healthcare issues in a race that guarantees the first woman elected to the Senate from South Carolina, structural partisan fundamentals and the completed GOP nomination contest have kept the implied probability of a Republican winner elevated.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$159,350 Vol.
$159,350 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Républicain
85%
Démocrate
15%
$159,350 Vol.
$159,350 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Républicain
$66,168 Vol.
85%
Démocrate
$93,182 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina’s solidly Republican electorate and the state’s lack of a Democratic Senate victory since 1998 continue to anchor trader expectations for a GOP hold. Darline Graham secured the Republican nomination in the August 25 runoff after her brother Lindsey’s death triggered a compressed special primary process, benefiting from President Trump’s endorsement and associated super PAC spending. Recent polling averages show her leading Democrat Annie Andrews by roughly seven points, consistent with the state’s 2024 presidential margin and the absence of major late shifts. While Andrews has highlighted economic and healthcare issues in a race that guarantees the first woman elected to the Senate from South Carolina, structural partisan fundamentals and the completed GOP nomination contest have kept the implied probability of a Republican winner elevated.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$159,350Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina’s solidly Republican electorate and the state’s lack of a Democratic Senate victory since 1998 continue to anchor trader expectations for a GOP hold. Darline Graham secured the Republican nomination in the August 25 runoff after her brother Lindsey’s death triggered a compressed special primary process, benefiting from President Trump’s endorsement and associated super PAC spending. Recent polling averages show her leading Democrat Annie Andrews by roughly seven points, consistent with the state’s 2024 presidential margin and the absence of major late shifts. While Andrews has highlighted economic and healthcare issues in a race that guarantees the first woman elected to the Senate from South Carolina, structural partisan fundamentals and the completed GOP nomination contest have kept the implied probability of a Republican winner elevated.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$159,350Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina’s solidly Republican electorate and the state’s lack of a Democratic Senate victory since 1998 continue to anchor trader expectations for a GOP hold. Darline Graham secured the Republican nomination in the August 25 runoff after her brother Lindsey’s death triggered a compressed special primary process, benefiting from President Trump’s endorsement and associated super PAC spending. Recent polling averages show her leading Democrat Annie Andrews by roughly seven points, consistent with the state’s 2024 presidential margin and the absence of major late shifts. While Andrews has highlighted economic and healthcare issues in a race that guarantees the first woman elected to the Senate from South Carolina, structural partisan fundamentals and the completed GOP nomination contest have kept the implied probability of a Republican winner elevated.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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