South Carolina's partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly eight points, and incumbent Lindsey Graham holds a consistent lead in early polling against potential Democratic challengers such as Annie Andrews. Recent surveys from spring 2026 show Graham ahead by double-digit margins in both primary and general-election matchups, supported by his substantial fundraising edge and absence of strong primary opposition. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the state's history of Republican statewide victories and limited Democratic infrastructure. These structural factors underpin the current market consensus that a Republican will win the seat beginning in 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$29,538 Vol.
$29,538 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
81%
Démocrate
21%
$29,538 Vol.
$29,538 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
$11,169 Vol.
81%
Démocrate
$18,369 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly eight points, and incumbent Lindsey Graham holds a consistent lead in early polling against potential Democratic challengers such as Annie Andrews. Recent surveys from spring 2026 show Graham ahead by double-digit margins in both primary and general-election matchups, supported by his substantial fundraising edge and absence of strong primary opposition. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the state's history of Republican statewide victories and limited Democratic infrastructure. These structural factors underpin the current market consensus that a Republican will win the seat beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$29,538Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly eight points, and incumbent Lindsey Graham holds a consistent lead in early polling against potential Democratic challengers such as Annie Andrews. Recent surveys from spring 2026 show Graham ahead by double-digit margins in both primary and general-election matchups, supported by his substantial fundraising edge and absence of strong primary opposition. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the state's history of Republican statewide victories and limited Democratic infrastructure. These structural factors underpin the current market consensus that a Republican will win the seat beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$29,538Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly eight points, and incumbent Lindsey Graham holds a consistent lead in early polling against potential Democratic challengers such as Annie Andrews. Recent surveys from spring 2026 show Graham ahead by double-digit margins in both primary and general-election matchups, supported by his substantial fundraising edge and absence of strong primary opposition. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the state's history of Republican statewide victories and limited Democratic infrastructure. These structural factors underpin the current market consensus that a Republican will win the seat beginning in 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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