Democratic incumbent Greg Casar secured the nomination for Texas’s 37th congressional district after mid-decade redistricting shifted boundaries and prompted prior representative Lloyd Doggett’s retirement, placing the seat firmly in Democratic hands with a Partisan Voter Index of D+30. Casar defeated his primary challenger by a wide margin while Republican nominee Lauren Peña emerged from a low-turnout primary runoff, reflecting limited GOP organizational strength in the Austin-centered district. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s repeated strong support for Democratic presidential and Senate candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural fundamentals, with only extraordinary late developments such as a major scandal or unprecedented turnout shift likely to alter the outcome before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-37 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-37 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$41,882 Vol.
$41,882 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
98%
Parti républicain
2%
$41,882 Vol.
$41,882 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$25,231 Vol.
98%
Parti républicain
$16,651 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Greg Casar secured the nomination for Texas’s 37th congressional district after mid-decade redistricting shifted boundaries and prompted prior representative Lloyd Doggett’s retirement, placing the seat firmly in Democratic hands with a Partisan Voter Index of D+30. Casar defeated his primary challenger by a wide margin while Republican nominee Lauren Peña emerged from a low-turnout primary runoff, reflecting limited GOP organizational strength in the Austin-centered district. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s repeated strong support for Democratic presidential and Senate candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural fundamentals, with only extraordinary late developments such as a major scandal or unprecedented turnout shift likely to alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$41,882Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Greg Casar secured the nomination for Texas’s 37th congressional district after mid-decade redistricting shifted boundaries and prompted prior representative Lloyd Doggett’s retirement, placing the seat firmly in Democratic hands with a Partisan Voter Index of D+30. Casar defeated his primary challenger by a wide margin while Republican nominee Lauren Peña emerged from a low-turnout primary runoff, reflecting limited GOP organizational strength in the Austin-centered district. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s repeated strong support for Democratic presidential and Senate candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural fundamentals, with only extraordinary late developments such as a major scandal or unprecedented turnout shift likely to alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,882Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Greg Casar secured the nomination for Texas’s 37th congressional district after mid-decade redistricting shifted boundaries and prompted prior representative Lloyd Doggett’s retirement, placing the seat firmly in Democratic hands with a Partisan Voter Index of D+30. Casar defeated his primary challenger by a wide margin while Republican nominee Lauren Peña emerged from a low-turnout primary runoff, reflecting limited GOP organizational strength in the Austin-centered district. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s repeated strong support for Democratic presidential and Senate candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural fundamentals, with only extraordinary late developments such as a major scandal or unprecedented turnout shift likely to alter the outcome before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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