Bennie Thompson, the long-serving Democratic incumbent in Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District, secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 86% of the vote against two challengers. The district’s strong Democratic lean—reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and partisan voting index of D+11 or greater—has produced consistent double-digit margins for Thompson, including 62% in 2024. Republican nominee Ron Eller emerged from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a Delta district that includes heavily Democratic areas around Jackson. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major developments reported since the primaries, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 89% implied probability, underscoring the limited path for Republican gains absent significant shifts in turnout or national conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMS-02 House Election Winner
MS-02 House Election Winner
$26,959 Vol.
$26,959 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
10%
$26,959 Vol.
$26,959 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Democratic Party
$14,595 Vol.
89%
Republican Party
$12,364 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson, the long-serving Democratic incumbent in Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District, secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 86% of the vote against two challengers. The district’s strong Democratic lean—reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and partisan voting index of D+11 or greater—has produced consistent double-digit margins for Thompson, including 62% in 2024. Republican nominee Ron Eller emerged from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a Delta district that includes heavily Democratic areas around Jackson. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major developments reported since the primaries, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 89% implied probability, underscoring the limited path for Republican gains absent significant shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$26,959Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson, the long-serving Democratic incumbent in Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District, secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 86% of the vote against two challengers. The district’s strong Democratic lean—reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and partisan voting index of D+11 or greater—has produced consistent double-digit margins for Thompson, including 62% in 2024. Republican nominee Ron Eller emerged from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a Delta district that includes heavily Democratic areas around Jackson. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major developments reported since the primaries, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 89% implied probability, underscoring the limited path for Republican gains absent significant shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,959Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bennie Thompson, the long-serving Democratic incumbent in Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District, secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 86% of the vote against two challengers. The district’s strong Democratic lean—reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and partisan voting index of D+11 or greater—has produced consistent double-digit margins for Thompson, including 62% in 2024. Republican nominee Ron Eller emerged from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a Delta district that includes heavily Democratic areas around Jackson. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major developments reported since the primaries, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 89% implied probability, underscoring the limited path for Republican gains absent significant shifts in turnout or national conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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