Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 86 percent of the vote against two challengers, advancing to the November general election in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District against Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster. The district's D+11 partisan voting index, its majority-Black electorate centered around Jackson, and Thompson's three-decade tenure contribute to the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Race forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Thompson's 62 percent victory in 2024. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event, or national political realignment of unusual scale in this reliably Democratic territory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MS-02
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MS-02
$36,491 Vol.
$36,491 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
92%
Parti républicain
8%
$36,491 Vol.
$36,491 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$21,474 Vol.
92%
Parti républicain
$15,017 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 86 percent of the vote against two challengers, advancing to the November general election in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District against Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster. The district's D+11 partisan voting index, its majority-Black electorate centered around Jackson, and Thompson's three-decade tenure contribute to the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Race forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Thompson's 62 percent victory in 2024. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event, or national political realignment of unusual scale in this reliably Democratic territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$36,491Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 86 percent of the vote against two challengers, advancing to the November general election in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District against Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster. The district's D+11 partisan voting index, its majority-Black electorate centered around Jackson, and Thompson's three-decade tenure contribute to the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Race forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Thompson's 62 percent victory in 2024. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event, or national political realignment of unusual scale in this reliably Democratic territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,491Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 86 percent of the vote against two challengers, advancing to the November general election in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District against Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster. The district's D+11 partisan voting index, its majority-Black electorate centered around Jackson, and Thompson's three-decade tenure contribute to the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Race forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Thompson's 62 percent victory in 2024. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event, or national political realignment of unusual scale in this reliably Democratic territory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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