California voters will decide in November 2026 whether to make the state's top marginal income tax rates on high earners permanent through Proposition 3, extending the structure first approved in 2012 and extended via Proposition 55 until 2031. The measure would lock in rates from 10.3% to 12.3% for individuals above roughly $360,000-$721,000, directing the bulk of the $5–15 billion in annual revenue to K–12 schools and community colleges. The proposition qualified for the ballot in June 2026 with substantial early support funding, building on repeated voter backing for the existing surcharge while facing opposition tied to concerns over tax permanence, revenue stability, and effects on high-income migration and investment. This backdrop supports the current trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% implied probability for approval.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourProposition d'impôt permanent sur les revenus élevés en Californie
Oui
Oui
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California voters will decide in November 2026 whether to make the state's top marginal income tax rates on high earners permanent through Proposition 3, extending the structure first approved in 2012 and extended via Proposition 55 until 2031. The measure would lock in rates from 10.3% to 12.3% for individuals above roughly $360,000-$721,000, directing the bulk of the $5–15 billion in annual revenue to K–12 schools and community colleges. The proposition qualified for the ballot in June 2026 with substantial early support funding, building on repeated voter backing for the existing surcharge while facing opposition tied to concerns over tax permanence, revenue stability, and effects on high-income migration and investment. This backdrop supports the current trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% implied probability for approval.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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