**Republican incumbent Abraham Hamadeh holds a strong position in Arizona’s 8th Congressional District, an R+8 seat covering northern and western Phoenix suburbs including Glendale and Peoria.** Hamadeh, first elected in 2024, ran unopposed in the July 21, 2026 Republican primary and faces Democrat Bernadette Greene-Placentia in the November 3 general election after she won her party’s primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan lean and the incumbent’s established voter base. With roughly three months until Election Day, trader consensus on an 81.5% Republican outcome aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in candidate positioning or national conditions that would alter the outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAZ-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
AZ-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$10,122 Vol.
$10,122 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
82%
Parti démocrate
18%
$10,122 Vol.
$10,122 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$4,204 Vol.
82%
Parti démocrate
$5,917 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Abraham Hamadeh holds a strong position in Arizona’s 8th Congressional District, an R+8 seat covering northern and western Phoenix suburbs including Glendale and Peoria.** Hamadeh, first elected in 2024, ran unopposed in the July 21, 2026 Republican primary and faces Democrat Bernadette Greene-Placentia in the November 3 general election after she won her party’s primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan lean and the incumbent’s established voter base. With roughly three months until Election Day, trader consensus on an 81.5% Republican outcome aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in candidate positioning or national conditions that would alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$10,122Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Abraham Hamadeh holds a strong position in Arizona’s 8th Congressional District, an R+8 seat covering northern and western Phoenix suburbs including Glendale and Peoria.** Hamadeh, first elected in 2024, ran unopposed in the July 21, 2026 Republican primary and faces Democrat Bernadette Greene-Placentia in the November 3 general election after she won her party’s primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan lean and the incumbent’s established voter base. With roughly three months until Election Day, trader consensus on an 81.5% Republican outcome aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in candidate positioning or national conditions that would alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,122Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican incumbent Abraham Hamadeh holds a strong position in Arizona’s 8th Congressional District, an R+8 seat covering northern and western Phoenix suburbs including Glendale and Peoria.** Hamadeh, first elected in 2024, ran unopposed in the July 21, 2026 Republican primary and faces Democrat Bernadette Greene-Placentia in the November 3 general election after she won her party’s primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan lean and the incumbent’s established voter base. With roughly three months until Election Day, trader consensus on an 81.5% Republican outcome aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in candidate positioning or national conditions that would alter the outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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