Republican incumbent Abraham Hamadeh holds a strong position in Arizona’s 8th congressional district, a suburban Phoenix area with an R+8 partisan voting index that has favored GOP candidates consistently. Hamadeh advanced easily through the July 21, 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Bernadette Greene Placentia secured her party’s nomination. The November 3 general election matchup features an incumbent seeking a second term in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory through turnout or national wave dynamics. Trader consensus at 81.5% for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural advantages alongside the remaining campaign window for potential shifts in voter sentiment or late developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAZ-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
AZ-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$10,122 Vol.
$10,122 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
82%
Parti démocrate
18%
$10,122 Vol.
$10,122 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$4,204 Vol.
82%
Parti démocrate
$5,917 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Abraham Hamadeh holds a strong position in Arizona’s 8th congressional district, a suburban Phoenix area with an R+8 partisan voting index that has favored GOP candidates consistently. Hamadeh advanced easily through the July 21, 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Bernadette Greene Placentia secured her party’s nomination. The November 3 general election matchup features an incumbent seeking a second term in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory through turnout or national wave dynamics. Trader consensus at 81.5% for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural advantages alongside the remaining campaign window for potential shifts in voter sentiment or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$10,122Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Abraham Hamadeh holds a strong position in Arizona’s 8th congressional district, a suburban Phoenix area with an R+8 partisan voting index that has favored GOP candidates consistently. Hamadeh advanced easily through the July 21, 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Bernadette Greene Placentia secured her party’s nomination. The November 3 general election matchup features an incumbent seeking a second term in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory through turnout or national wave dynamics. Trader consensus at 81.5% for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural advantages alongside the remaining campaign window for potential shifts in voter sentiment or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,122Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Abraham Hamadeh holds a strong position in Arizona’s 8th congressional district, a suburban Phoenix area with an R+8 partisan voting index that has favored GOP candidates consistently. Hamadeh advanced easily through the July 21, 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Bernadette Greene Placentia secured her party’s nomination. The November 3 general election matchup features an incumbent seeking a second term in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory through turnout or national wave dynamics. Trader consensus at 81.5% for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural advantages alongside the remaining campaign window for potential shifts in voter sentiment or late developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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