Incumbent Democratic Rep. Lou Correa advanced from the June 2026 primary to face Republican David Pan in the November general election for California's 46th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid D rating and partisan voting index, combined with Correa's established incumbency and primary performance near 52 percent, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Limited Republican infrastructure in the district and modest fundraising differentials further reinforce the positioning ahead of November. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated national political shift could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-46 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-46 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$17,432 Vol.
$17,432 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
5%
$17,432 Vol.
$17,432 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$4,636 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$12,795 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Lou Correa advanced from the June 2026 primary to face Republican David Pan in the November general election for California's 46th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid D rating and partisan voting index, combined with Correa's established incumbency and primary performance near 52 percent, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Limited Republican infrastructure in the district and modest fundraising differentials further reinforce the positioning ahead of November. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated national political shift could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$17,432Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Lou Correa advanced from the June 2026 primary to face Republican David Pan in the November general election for California's 46th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid D rating and partisan voting index, combined with Correa's established incumbency and primary performance near 52 percent, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Limited Republican infrastructure in the district and modest fundraising differentials further reinforce the positioning ahead of November. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated national political shift could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,432Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Lou Correa advanced from the June 2026 primary to face Republican David Pan in the November general election for California's 46th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid D rating and partisan voting index, combined with Correa's established incumbency and primary performance near 52 percent, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Limited Republican infrastructure in the district and modest fundraising differentials further reinforce the positioning ahead of November. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated national political shift could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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