Incumbent Democrat John Garamendi holds a commanding position in California's 8th congressional district race, reflected in the market's 94.5% consensus for the Democratic Party. The June 2026 primary advanced Garamendi and Republican Rudy Recile to the November general election, with Garamendi capturing a majority of votes in a district spanning portions of Contra Costa, Sacramento, San Joaquin, Solano, and Yolo counties. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on voter registration patterns and past election results. The Republican nominee trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. Factors that could alter the outcome include a late-breaking scandal, sharp national political shift, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-08
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-08
$29,996 Vol.
$29,996 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
5%
$29,996 Vol.
$29,996 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$13,033 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$16,963 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Garamendi holds a commanding position in California's 8th congressional district race, reflected in the market's 94.5% consensus for the Democratic Party. The June 2026 primary advanced Garamendi and Republican Rudy Recile to the November general election, with Garamendi capturing a majority of votes in a district spanning portions of Contra Costa, Sacramento, San Joaquin, Solano, and Yolo counties. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on voter registration patterns and past election results. The Republican nominee trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. Factors that could alter the outcome include a late-breaking scandal, sharp national political shift, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, though no such developments have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$29,996Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Garamendi holds a commanding position in California's 8th congressional district race, reflected in the market's 94.5% consensus for the Democratic Party. The June 2026 primary advanced Garamendi and Republican Rudy Recile to the November general election, with Garamendi capturing a majority of votes in a district spanning portions of Contra Costa, Sacramento, San Joaquin, Solano, and Yolo counties. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on voter registration patterns and past election results. The Republican nominee trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. Factors that could alter the outcome include a late-breaking scandal, sharp national political shift, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, though no such developments have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,996Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat John Garamendi holds a commanding position in California's 8th congressional district race, reflected in the market's 94.5% consensus for the Democratic Party. The June 2026 primary advanced Garamendi and Republican Rudy Recile to the November general election, with Garamendi capturing a majority of votes in a district spanning portions of Contra Costa, Sacramento, San Joaquin, Solano, and Yolo counties. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on voter registration patterns and past election results. The Republican nominee trails significantly in fundraising and visibility. Factors that could alter the outcome include a late-breaking scandal, sharp national political shift, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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