Incumbent Republican Greg Steube's bid for reelection in Florida's 17th Congressional District, bolstered by a newly approved redistricting map favoring Republicans 24-4 statewide, anchors trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP win. Late April developments—Gov. DeSantis's proposed map passed by the legislature on April 29, retaining 85% of the prior district with a Cook PVI of R+11—solidified its Solid Republican status per Inside Elections and Lean R per The Economist as of early May. Steube's April 30 announcement, robust fundraising exceeding $1 million, and his 2024 30-point margin reflect low Democratic recruitment, pricing the challenger at 10.5%. Primaries on August 18 could introduce variables, though structural advantages persist absent major shifts like scandals or high-profile opponents.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-17
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-17
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
88%
Parti démocrate
11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$4,412 Vol.
88%
Parti démocrate
$2,747 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Steube's bid for reelection in Florida's 17th Congressional District, bolstered by a newly approved redistricting map favoring Republicans 24-4 statewide, anchors trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP win. Late April developments—Gov. DeSantis's proposed map passed by the legislature on April 29, retaining 85% of the prior district with a Cook PVI of R+11—solidified its Solid Republican status per Inside Elections and Lean R per The Economist as of early May. Steube's April 30 announcement, robust fundraising exceeding $1 million, and his 2024 30-point margin reflect low Democratic recruitment, pricing the challenger at 10.5%. Primaries on August 18 could introduce variables, though structural advantages persist absent major shifts like scandals or high-profile opponents.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$7,159Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Steube's bid for reelection in Florida's 17th Congressional District, bolstered by a newly approved redistricting map favoring Republicans 24-4 statewide, anchors trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP win. Late April developments—Gov. DeSantis's proposed map passed by the legislature on April 29, retaining 85% of the prior district with a Cook PVI of R+11—solidified its Solid Republican status per Inside Elections and Lean R per The Economist as of early May. Steube's April 30 announcement, robust fundraising exceeding $1 million, and his 2024 30-point margin reflect low Democratic recruitment, pricing the challenger at 10.5%. Primaries on August 18 could introduce variables, though structural advantages persist absent major shifts like scandals or high-profile opponents.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,159Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Steube's bid for reelection in Florida's 17th Congressional District, bolstered by a newly approved redistricting map favoring Republicans 24-4 statewide, anchors trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP win. Late April developments—Gov. DeSantis's proposed map passed by the legislature on April 29, retaining 85% of the prior district with a Cook PVI of R+11—solidified its Solid Republican status per Inside Elections and Lean R per The Economist as of early May. Steube's April 30 announcement, robust fundraising exceeding $1 million, and his 2024 30-point margin reflect low Democratic recruitment, pricing the challenger at 10.5%. Primaries on August 18 could introduce variables, though structural advantages persist absent major shifts like scandals or high-profile opponents.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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