OpenAI's release of GPT-5.5 on April 23 and GPT-5.5 Instant as ChatGPT's default model on May 5 has solidified the current frontier benchmark, with gains in reasoning, personalization, and reduced hallucinations that propelled it to top rankings in arenas like multi-turn tasks and vision. This rapid cadence—eight models shipped in two weeks, including specialized variants like Daybreak for cybersecurity—reflects OpenAI's aggressive deployment velocity amid fierce competition from Anthropic's Mythos and Claude Opus updates, xAI's Grok 5, and closing Chinese challengers like DeepSeek and GLM-5. Traders eye implied probabilities shaped by this pattern, though timelines remain fluid due to safety evaluations, limited previews on AWS, and potential regulatory hurdles; watch for developer previews or API rollouts as next catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
31 mai 2026
31 mai
25%
June 30
83%
September 30
92%
$9,499 Vol.
31 mai
$2,145 Vol.
25%
June 30
$2,303 Vol.
83%
September 30
$5,051 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's release of GPT-5.5 on April 23 and GPT-5.5 Instant as ChatGPT's default model on May 5 has solidified the current frontier benchmark, with gains in reasoning, personalization, and reduced hallucinations that propelled it to top rankings in arenas like multi-turn tasks and vision. This rapid cadence—eight models shipped in two weeks, including specialized variants like Daybreak for cybersecurity—reflects OpenAI's aggressive deployment velocity amid fierce competition from Anthropic's Mythos and Claude Opus updates, xAI's Grok 5, and closing Chinese challengers like DeepSeek and GLM-5. Traders eye implied probabilities shaped by this pattern, though timelines remain fluid due to safety evaluations, limited previews on AWS, and potential regulatory hurdles; watch for developer previews or API rollouts as next catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ET
Volume
$9,499Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's release of GPT-5.5 on April 23 and GPT-5.5 Instant as ChatGPT's default model on May 5 has solidified the current frontier benchmark, with gains in reasoning, personalization, and reduced hallucinations that propelled it to top rankings in arenas like multi-turn tasks and vision. This rapid cadence—eight models shipped in two weeks, including specialized variants like Daybreak for cybersecurity—reflects OpenAI's aggressive deployment velocity amid fierce competition from Anthropic's Mythos and Claude Opus updates, xAI's Grok 5, and closing Chinese challengers like DeepSeek and GLM-5. Traders eye implied probabilities shaped by this pattern, though timelines remain fluid due to safety evaluations, limited previews on AWS, and potential regulatory hurdles; watch for developer previews or API rollouts as next catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$9,499Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's release of GPT-5.5 on April 23 and GPT-5.5 Instant as ChatGPT's default model on May 5 has solidified the current frontier benchmark, with gains in reasoning, personalization, and reduced hallucinations that propelled it to top rankings in arenas like multi-turn tasks and vision. This rapid cadence—eight models shipped in two weeks, including specialized variants like Daybreak for cybersecurity—reflects OpenAI's aggressive deployment velocity amid fierce competition from Anthropic's Mythos and Claude Opus updates, xAI's Grok 5, and closing Chinese challengers like DeepSeek and GLM-5. Traders eye implied probabilities shaped by this pattern, though timelines remain fluid due to safety evaluations, limited previews on AWS, and potential regulatory hurdles; watch for developer previews or API rollouts as next catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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