Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary behind Karen Bass and Nithya Raman after mail ballots shifted the second spot during extended counting. Traders have focused on whether Pratt would formally concede the non-advancement or prolong uncertainty, given his early pledge to leave the city if defeated and public pressure from Donald Trump’s unfounded fraud claims. Pratt delayed acknowledgment through June 11 while questioning ongoing tallies, then posted a June 12 video stating the campaign phase of his effort had ended, accepting the outcome without contesting results, and vowing continued attacks on the runoff candidates. This timeline has driven rapid repricing on dated concession markets, with later deadlines now reflecting higher implied probabilities based on the observed statement and absence of legal challenges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$18,048 Vol.
3 juil. 2026
15 juin
45%
2 juillet
55%
$18,048 Vol.
15 juin
$10,033 Vol.
45%
2 juillet
$3,311 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary behind Karen Bass and Nithya Raman after mail ballots shifted the second spot during extended counting. Traders have focused on whether Pratt would formally concede the non-advancement or prolong uncertainty, given his early pledge to leave the city if defeated and public pressure from Donald Trump’s unfounded fraud claims. Pratt delayed acknowledgment through June 11 while questioning ongoing tallies, then posted a June 12 video stating the campaign phase of his effort had ended, accepting the outcome without contesting results, and vowing continued attacks on the runoff candidates. This timeline has driven rapid repricing on dated concession markets, with later deadlines now reflecting higher implied probabilities based on the observed statement and absence of legal challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Marché ouvert : Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Volume
$18,048Date de fin
3 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary behind Karen Bass and Nithya Raman after mail ballots shifted the second spot during extended counting. Traders have focused on whether Pratt would formally concede the non-advancement or prolong uncertainty, given his early pledge to leave the city if defeated and public pressure from Donald Trump’s unfounded fraud claims. Pratt delayed acknowledgment through June 11 while questioning ongoing tallies, then posted a June 12 video stating the campaign phase of his effort had ended, accepting the outcome without contesting results, and vowing continued attacks on the runoff candidates. This timeline has driven rapid repricing on dated concession markets, with later deadlines now reflecting higher implied probabilities based on the observed statement and absence of legal challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Volume
$18,048Date de fin
3 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary behind Karen Bass and Nithya Raman after mail ballots shifted the second spot during extended counting. Traders have focused on whether Pratt would formally concede the non-advancement or prolong uncertainty, given his early pledge to leave the city if defeated and public pressure from Donald Trump’s unfounded fraud claims. Pratt delayed acknowledgment through June 11 while questioning ongoing tallies, then posted a June 12 video stating the campaign phase of his effort had ended, accepting the outcome without contesting results, and vowing continued attacks on the runoff candidates. This timeline has driven rapid repricing on dated concession markets, with later deadlines now reflecting higher implied probabilities based on the observed statement and absence of legal challenges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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