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icon for Élection à LA Mayoral : Recomptage du 1er tour ?

Élection à LA Mayoral : Recomptage du 1er tour ?

icon for Élection à LA Mayoral : Recomptage du 1er tour ?

Élection à LA Mayoral : Recomptage du 1er tour ?

Oui

9% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Oui

9% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff. Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass maintains a clear lead in the June 2 first-round primary with over 34% of the vote, while Nithya Raman has secured second place ahead of Spencer Pratt by several thousand ballots after recent tallies reached 93-97% of expected votes. The substantial margins and ongoing but stabilizing count have produced no official recount requests, automatic triggers under California election procedures, or credible challenges from candidates or observers. Mail-in ballots continue to arrive through early June without altering the top-two advancement to the November runoff, reinforcing trader consensus against a recount.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.

A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff.

Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.
Volume
$1,235
Date de fin
15 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 8, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff. Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff. Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass maintains a clear lead in the June 2 first-round primary with over 34% of the vote, while Nithya Raman has secured second place ahead of Spencer Pratt by several thousand ballots after recent tallies reached 93-97% of expected votes. The substantial margins and ongoing but stabilizing count have produced no official recount requests, automatic triggers under California election procedures, or credible challenges from candidates or observers. Mail-in ballots continue to arrive through early June without altering the top-two advancement to the November runoff, reinforcing trader consensus against a recount.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.

A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff.

Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.
Volume
$1,235
Date de fin
15 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 8, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff. Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection à LA Mayoral : Recomptage du 1er tour ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Élection du maire de LA : recomptage du premier tour ? » à 9%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 9¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 9% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection à LA Mayoral : Recomptage du 1er tour ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 9, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection à LA Mayoral : Recomptage du 1er tour ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Élection à LA Mayoral : Recomptage du 1er tour ? » est « Élection du maire de LA : recomptage du premier tour ? » à seulement 9%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection à LA Mayoral : Recomptage du 1er tour ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.