Keiko Fujimori holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the narrowest victory bracket because partial official tallies with over 98% of ballots processed show her ahead by roughly 18,000 votes out of nearly 18 million cast, equating to a margin near 0.1%. Rural and Andean regions favor Roberto Sánchez while urban and coastal areas back Fujimori, producing the current razor-thin gap. Remaining contested ballots from more than 1,600 polling stations and any final reviews could still shift the exact percentage, yet the trajectory of late-counted votes supports the 0.2–0.3% outcome priced at 96.5%. A reversal to a Sánchez win or a different bracket would require substantial adjustments in the unresolved stations or successful challenges before the electoral authority completes its work.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour2ème tour des élections au Pérou : Marge de victoire ? (parenthèses de 0,1 %)
2ème tour des élections au Pérou : Marge de victoire ? (parenthèses de 0,1 %)
Fujimori 0,2–0,3 % 96.4%
Fujimori 0,3–0,4 % 1.8%
Fujimori 0,1–0,2 % 1.6%
Fujimori 0–0,1 % <1%
$1,844,169 Vol.
$1,844,169 Vol.
Fujimori 1 %+
<1%
Fujimori 0,9–1,0 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,8–0,9 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,7–0,8 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,6–0,7 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,5–0,6 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,4–0,5 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,3–0,4 %
2%
Fujimori 0,2–0,3 %
96%
Fujimori 0,1–0,2 %
2%
Fujimori 0–0,1 %
<1%
Sánchez 0–0,1 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,1–0,2 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,2–0,3 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,3–0,4 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,4–0,5 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,5–0,6 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,6–0,7 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,7–0,8 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,8–0,9 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,9–1,0 %
<1%
Sánchez 1 %+
<1%
Autre
<1%
Fujimori 0,2–0,3 % 96.4%
Fujimori 0,3–0,4 % 1.8%
Fujimori 0,1–0,2 % 1.6%
Fujimori 0–0,1 % <1%
$1,844,169 Vol.
$1,844,169 Vol.
Fujimori 1 %+
$59,976 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,9–1,0 %
$32,568 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,8–0,9 %
$31,635 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,7–0,8 %
$30,751 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,6–0,7 %
$39,177 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,5–0,6 %
$80,985 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,4–0,5 %
$172,960 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,3–0,4 %
$257,876 Vol.
2%
Fujimori 0,2–0,3 %
$143,155 Vol.
96%
Fujimori 0,1–0,2 %
$215,643 Vol.
2%
Fujimori 0–0,1 %
$232,223 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0–0,1 %
$174,768 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,1–0,2 %
$134,443 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,2–0,3 %
$51,086 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,3–0,4 %
$36,198 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,4–0,5 %
$34,140 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,5–0,6 %
$28,110 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,6–0,7 %
$22,146 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,7–0,8 %
$15,485 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,8–0,9 %
$8,706 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,9–1,0 %
$7,727 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 1 %+
$8,872 Vol.
<1%
Autre
$27,343 Vol.
<1%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the narrowest victory bracket because partial official tallies with over 98% of ballots processed show her ahead by roughly 18,000 votes out of nearly 18 million cast, equating to a margin near 0.1%. Rural and Andean regions favor Roberto Sánchez while urban and coastal areas back Fujimori, producing the current razor-thin gap. Remaining contested ballots from more than 1,600 polling stations and any final reviews could still shift the exact percentage, yet the trajectory of late-counted votes supports the 0.2–0.3% outcome priced at 96.5%. A reversal to a Sánchez win or a different bracket would require substantial adjustments in the unresolved stations or successful challenges before the electoral authority completes its work.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Marché ouvert : Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
Volume
$1,844,169Marché ouvert
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the narrowest victory bracket because partial official tallies with over 98% of ballots processed show her ahead by roughly 18,000 votes out of nearly 18 million cast, equating to a margin near 0.1%. Rural and Andean regions favor Roberto Sánchez while urban and coastal areas back Fujimori, producing the current razor-thin gap. Remaining contested ballots from more than 1,600 polling stations and any final reviews could still shift the exact percentage, yet the trajectory of late-counted votes supports the 0.2–0.3% outcome priced at 96.5%. A reversal to a Sánchez win or a different bracket would require substantial adjustments in the unresolved stations or successful challenges before the electoral authority completes its work.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$1,844,169Marché ouvert
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the narrowest victory bracket because partial official tallies with over 98% of ballots processed show her ahead by roughly 18,000 votes out of nearly 18 million cast, equating to a margin near 0.1%. Rural and Andean regions favor Roberto Sánchez while urban and coastal areas back Fujimori, producing the current razor-thin gap. Remaining contested ballots from more than 1,600 polling stations and any final reviews could still shift the exact percentage, yet the trajectory of late-counted votes supports the 0.2–0.3% outcome priced at 96.5%. A reversal to a Sánchez win or a different bracket would require substantial adjustments in the unresolved stations or successful challenges before the electoral authority completes its work.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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