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Élections·Primaires

Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

icon for Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
Élections·Primaires

Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Collins <5% 43%

Collins 5–10 % 39%

Collins 15–20% 39%

Collins 25%+ 38%

Polymarket

$50 Vol.

Collins <5% 43%

Collins 5–10 % 39%

Collins 15–20% 39%

Collins 25%+ 38%

Polymarket

$50 Vol.

Victoire de Dooley

$15 Vol.

15%

Collins <5%

$5 Vol.

43%

Collins 5–10 %

$10 Vol.

39%

Collins 10–15%

$5 Vol.

37%

Collins 15–20%

$5 Vol.

39%

Collins 20–25 %

$5 Vol.

38%

Collins 25%+

$5 Vol.

38%

The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley for the Republican nomination to challenge Sen. Jon Ossoff features Collins leading recent polls by 9–16 points after his 40.5% to 30.2% primary finish, which keeps trader-implied probabilities clustered across Collins margin buckets while holding Dooley’s outright win odds at 15%. Collins’ positioning as a MAGA-aligned incumbent congressman contrasts with Dooley’s support from Gov. Brian Kemp and outsider profile as a former football coach, amid no Trump endorsement and standard runoff turnout dynamics among Georgia Republican voters. Late campaign events and voter mobilization in the final days could still shift the victory margin within the closely contested field.

The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$50
Date de fin
25 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley for the Republican nomination to challenge Sen. Jon Ossoff features Collins leading recent polls by 9–16 points after his 40.5% to 30.2% primary finish, which keeps trader-implied probabilities clustered across Collins margin buckets while holding Dooley’s outright win odds at 15%. Collins’ positioning as a MAGA-aligned incumbent congressman contrasts with Dooley’s support from Gov. Brian Kemp and outsider profile as a former football coach, amid no Trump endorsement and standard runoff turnout dynamics among Georgia Republican voters. Late campaign events and voter mobilization in the final days could still shift the victory margin within the closely contested field.

The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$50
Date de fin
25 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Questions fréquentes

« Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Collins <5% » à 43%, suivi de « Collins 5–10 % » à 40%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 43¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 10, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory » est « Collins <5% » à 43%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Collins 5–10 % » à 40%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.