In Colombia's June 21 presidential runoff, trader consensus shows a near-even split on which candidate secures the most votes from Bogotá, with multiple options priced at or near 50% and the two main contenders at 49% and 46.5%. The capital's large electorate makes it a pivotal battleground in a polarized contest between leftist Iván Cepeda Castro, backed by the Historic Pact coalition and continuity with outgoing President Gustavo Petro, and right-wing Abelardo de la Espriella of Defensores de la Patria. Recent first-round results revealed de la Espriella's edge in conservative inland departments contrasted with Cepeda's stronger coastal and urban support, leaving Bogotá's outcome sensitive to turnout among younger and reform-minded voters, last-minute endorsements, and mobilization efforts in the final days before voting. This balance of factors sustains the tight pricing ahead of election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$38,582 Vol.
$38,582 Vol.
22 juin 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
49%
Abelardo de la Espriella
47%
$38,582 Vol.
$38,582 Vol.
22 juin 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
$11,436 Vol.
49%
Abelardo de la Espriella
$27,146 Vol.
47%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).In Colombia's June 21 presidential runoff, trader consensus shows a near-even split on which candidate secures the most votes from Bogotá, with multiple options priced at or near 50% and the two main contenders at 49% and 46.5%. The capital's large electorate makes it a pivotal battleground in a polarized contest between leftist Iván Cepeda Castro, backed by the Historic Pact coalition and continuity with outgoing President Gustavo Petro, and right-wing Abelardo de la Espriella of Defensores de la Patria. Recent first-round results revealed de la Espriella's edge in conservative inland departments contrasted with Cepeda's stronger coastal and urban support, leaving Bogotá's outcome sensitive to turnout among younger and reform-minded voters, last-minute endorsements, and mobilization efforts in the final days before voting. This balance of factors sustains the tight pricing ahead of election day.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Marché ouvert : Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Volume
$38,582Date de fin
22 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).In Colombia's June 21 presidential runoff, trader consensus shows a near-even split on which candidate secures the most votes from Bogotá, with multiple options priced at or near 50% and the two main contenders at 49% and 46.5%. The capital's large electorate makes it a pivotal battleground in a polarized contest between leftist Iván Cepeda Castro, backed by the Historic Pact coalition and continuity with outgoing President Gustavo Petro, and right-wing Abelardo de la Espriella of Defensores de la Patria. Recent first-round results revealed de la Espriella's edge in conservative inland departments contrasted with Cepeda's stronger coastal and urban support, leaving Bogotá's outcome sensitive to turnout among younger and reform-minded voters, last-minute endorsements, and mobilization efforts in the final days before voting. This balance of factors sustains the tight pricing ahead of election day.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$38,582Date de fin
22 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Colombia's June 21 presidential runoff, trader consensus shows a near-even split on which candidate secures the most votes from Bogotá, with multiple options priced at or near 50% and the two main contenders at 49% and 46.5%. The capital's large electorate makes it a pivotal battleground in a polarized contest between leftist Iván Cepeda Castro, backed by the Historic Pact coalition and continuity with outgoing President Gustavo Petro, and right-wing Abelardo de la Espriella of Defensores de la Patria. Recent first-round results revealed de la Espriella's edge in conservative inland departments contrasted with Cepeda's stronger coastal and urban support, leaving Bogotá's outcome sensitive to turnout among younger and reform-minded voters, last-minute endorsements, and mobilization efforts in the final days before voting. This balance of factors sustains the tight pricing ahead of election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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