Ukrainian forces have achieved net territorial gains across southeastern fronts in 2026, recapturing hundreds of square kilometers in sectors including Oleksandrivskyi and areas near the Donetsk-Dnipropetrovsk-Zaporizhzhia junction through coordinated advances by air-assault and other units. Russian troops maintain pressure via glide-bomb and drone strikes on logistics hubs and settlements, including repeated attacks on Kamianske in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, while contesting positions around the village of Kamianske in western Zaporizhzhia Oblast. These dynamics, combined with Ukrainian reports of restored control over multiple settlements and Russian incremental gains elsewhere, shape trader assessments of whether Ukrainian units can re-enter the specific location before the market's resolution date. Scheduled developments such as intensified Russian air interdiction or Ukrainian precision operations could alter momentum in the coming weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourL'Ukraine réintégrera-t-elle Kamianske d'ici... ?
$79,502 Vol.
30 septembre
23%
$79,502 Vol.
30 septembre
23%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 24, 2026, 9:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces have achieved net territorial gains across southeastern fronts in 2026, recapturing hundreds of square kilometers in sectors including Oleksandrivskyi and areas near the Donetsk-Dnipropetrovsk-Zaporizhzhia junction through coordinated advances by air-assault and other units. Russian troops maintain pressure via glide-bomb and drone strikes on logistics hubs and settlements, including repeated attacks on Kamianske in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, while contesting positions around the village of Kamianske in western Zaporizhzhia Oblast. These dynamics, combined with Ukrainian reports of restored control over multiple settlements and Russian incremental gains elsewhere, shape trader assessments of whether Ukrainian units can re-enter the specific location before the market's resolution date. Scheduled developments such as intensified Russian air interdiction or Ukrainian precision operations could alter momentum in the coming weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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