Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan remains the dominant driver of USD/JPY sentiment in 2026. The BOJ, holding its policy rate at 0.75 percent after the April meeting, is expected to hike to 1.0 percent in June amid upward revisions to its 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8 percent, while the Fed navigates sticky U.S. inflation data that could delay further easing from the current 3.50–3.75 percent range. This narrowing yield differential, projected to compress from roughly 325 basis points to 250–275 by year-end, supports a bearish bias for the pair, reinforced by Japanese authorities’ recent interventions near 160. Traders will monitor the June BOJ decision, upcoming CPI releases, and any escalation in energy prices for shifts in the rate path.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$30,385 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
↑200
10%
↑190
12%
↑180
16%
↑175
18%
↑170
22%
↑165
44%
↓150
73%
↓140
22%
↓130
15%
↓120
8%
↓110
9%
$30,385 Vol.
↑200
$465 Vol.
10%
↑190
$11 Vol.
12%
↑180
$774 Vol.
16%
↑175
$773 Vol.
18%
↑170
$2,359 Vol.
22%
↑165
$5,560 Vol.
44%
↓150
$2,217 Vol.
73%
↓140
$681 Vol.
22%
↓130
$393 Vol.
15%
↓120
$8,199 Vol.
8%
↓110
$635 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan remains the dominant driver of USD/JPY sentiment in 2026. The BOJ, holding its policy rate at 0.75 percent after the April meeting, is expected to hike to 1.0 percent in June amid upward revisions to its 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8 percent, while the Fed navigates sticky U.S. inflation data that could delay further easing from the current 3.50–3.75 percent range. This narrowing yield differential, projected to compress from roughly 325 basis points to 250–275 by year-end, supports a bearish bias for the pair, reinforced by Japanese authorities’ recent interventions near 160. Traders will monitor the June BOJ decision, upcoming CPI releases, and any escalation in energy prices for shifts in the rate path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Volume
$30,385Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan remains the dominant driver of USD/JPY sentiment in 2026. The BOJ, holding its policy rate at 0.75 percent after the April meeting, is expected to hike to 1.0 percent in June amid upward revisions to its 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8 percent, while the Fed navigates sticky U.S. inflation data that could delay further easing from the current 3.50–3.75 percent range. This narrowing yield differential, projected to compress from roughly 325 basis points to 250–275 by year-end, supports a bearish bias for the pair, reinforced by Japanese authorities’ recent interventions near 160. Traders will monitor the June BOJ decision, upcoming CPI releases, and any escalation in energy prices for shifts in the rate path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Volume
$30,385Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan remains the dominant driver of USD/JPY sentiment in 2026. The BOJ, holding its policy rate at 0.75 percent after the April meeting, is expected to hike to 1.0 percent in June amid upward revisions to its 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8 percent, while the Fed navigates sticky U.S. inflation data that could delay further easing from the current 3.50–3.75 percent range. This narrowing yield differential, projected to compress from roughly 325 basis points to 250–275 by year-end, supports a bearish bias for the pair, reinforced by Japanese authorities’ recent interventions near 160. Traders will monitor the June BOJ decision, upcoming CPI releases, and any escalation in energy prices for shifts in the rate path.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes