The United States enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group D as clear frontrunners in trader consensus, bolstered by co-host advantages, a deep roster, and a commanding 4-1 opening victory over Paraguay that reinforced expectations of topping the section. Australia has climbed on the back of a 2-0 upset over Türkiye, injecting momentum into its campaign and highlighting improved form from AFC qualifiers. Türkiye, returning after a long absence, showed vulnerability in that defeat despite pre-tournament promise, while Paraguay faces an uphill climb after the heavy loss and limited recent international success. These results align with implied probabilities reflecting home-soil edge and current match outcomes over the remaining fixtures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉtats-Unis 72%
Australie 19.8%
Turquie 8%
Paraguay 1.6%
$854,125 Vol.
$854,125 Vol.
États-Unis
72%
Australie
20%
Turquie
8%
Paraguay
2%
États-Unis 72%
Australie 19.8%
Turquie 8%
Paraguay 1.6%
$854,125 Vol.
$854,125 Vol.
États-Unis
72%
Australie
20%
Turquie
8%
Paraguay
2%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The United States enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group D as clear frontrunners in trader consensus, bolstered by co-host advantages, a deep roster, and a commanding 4-1 opening victory over Paraguay that reinforced expectations of topping the section. Australia has climbed on the back of a 2-0 upset over Türkiye, injecting momentum into its campaign and highlighting improved form from AFC qualifiers. Türkiye, returning after a long absence, showed vulnerability in that defeat despite pre-tournament promise, while Paraguay faces an uphill climb after the heavy loss and limited recent international success. These results align with implied probabilities reflecting home-soil edge and current match outcomes over the remaining fixtures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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