Belgium holds the strongest implied probability in this group as the highest-ranked European side with a proven World Cup pedigree, including a third-place finish in 2018, and a squad featuring established stars such as Kevin De Bruyne. Recent pre-tournament friendlies, including victories over weaker opponents, have reinforced trader consensus around its ability to secure top-two advancement. Egypt sits second on the back of strong CAF qualification results and the presence of Mohamed Salah, though its lack of prior knockout-stage success caps expectations. Iran and New Zealand trail due to historically limited group-stage performances and lower overall squad strength in this expanded 48-team format.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBelgique 69%
Égypte 18%
Iran 12.3%
Nouvelle-Zélande 3.7%
$165,960 Vol.
$165,960 Vol.
Belgique
69%
Égypte
18%
Iran
12%
Nouvelle-Zélande
4%
Belgique 69%
Égypte 18%
Iran 12.3%
Nouvelle-Zélande 3.7%
$165,960 Vol.
$165,960 Vol.
Belgique
69%
Égypte
18%
Iran
12%
Nouvelle-Zélande
4%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 6:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Belgium holds the strongest implied probability in this group as the highest-ranked European side with a proven World Cup pedigree, including a third-place finish in 2018, and a squad featuring established stars such as Kevin De Bruyne. Recent pre-tournament friendlies, including victories over weaker opponents, have reinforced trader consensus around its ability to secure top-two advancement. Egypt sits second on the back of strong CAF qualification results and the presence of Mohamed Salah, though its lack of prior knockout-stage success caps expectations. Iran and New Zealand trail due to historically limited group-stage performances and lower overall squad strength in this expanded 48-team format.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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