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World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination

icon for World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination

World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination

Round of 32 71%

Round of 16 14%

Quarterfinals 8%

Semifinals 3.7%

Polymarket

$157,367 Vol.

Round of 32 71%

Round of 16 14%

Quarterfinals 8%

Semifinals 3.7%

Polymarket

$157,367 Vol.

Round of 32

$44,975 Vol.

71%

Round of 16

$24,169 Vol.

14%

Quarterfinals

$20,677 Vol.

8%

Semifinals

$21,708 Vol.

4%

Final

$13,289 Vol.

1%

Champion

$14,005 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Japan enters the 2026 World Cup in Group F facing the Netherlands, Sweden, and Tunisia with a talented squad featuring attacking depth from players like Takefusa Kubo and Ritsu Doan, but recent injuries have created uncertainty. Star winger Kaoru Mitoma remains sidelined with a hamstring issue, while captain Wataru Endo was ruled out with a foot problem and retired from international duty, alongside Takumi Minamino's long-term ACL absence. These setbacks temper expectations despite Japan's strong recent results against top European sides and tactical flexibility under Hajime Moriyasu. The expanded 48-team format and squad resilience keep implied probabilities tightly grouped for elimination in the round of 32, round of 16, or later stages, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive balance between vulnerability and upset potential.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$157,367
Date de fin
19 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.fifa.com/en/
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Japan enters the 2026 World Cup in Group F facing the Netherlands, Sweden, and Tunisia with a talented squad featuring attacking depth from players like Takefusa Kubo and Ritsu Doan, but recent injuries have created uncertainty. Star winger Kaoru Mitoma remains sidelined with a hamstring issue, while captain Wataru Endo was ruled out with a foot problem and retired from international duty, alongside Takumi Minamino's long-term ACL absence. These setbacks temper expectations despite Japan's strong recent results against top European sides and tactical flexibility under Hajime Moriyasu. The expanded 48-team format and squad resilience keep implied probabilities tightly grouped for elimination in the round of 32, round of 16, or later stages, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive balance between vulnerability and upset potential.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$157,367
Date de fin
19 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.fifa.com/en/
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Round of 32 » à 71%, suivi de « Round of 16 » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 71¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination » a généré $157.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 7, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination » est « Round of 32 » à 71%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Round of 16 » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.