Group stage results and remaining fixtures shape advancement odds most directly for any nation eyeing the Round of 16, as the top two teams per group plus select third-place sides advance to the expanded knockout bracket. Recent matches have clarified standings in several groups, with early wins boosting goal difference and points tallies for contenders while leaving others needing favorable results in their final group games. Squad depth, key player fitness from official reports, and historical performance against similar opposition provide additional context traders weigh. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing accounts for these variables alongside schedule difficulty and home-soil advantages for co-hosts, though upsets remain common in tournament play.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$2,480,584 Vol.

Argentina
94%

France
88%

USA
83%

Germany
82%

Spain
82%

England
79%

Portugal
76%

Canada
73%

Brazil
71%

Switzerland
70%

Norway
66%

Belgium
64%

Netherlands
63%

Mexico
62%

Colombia
61%

Egypt
58%

Australia
45%

Ecuador
38%

Morocco
37%

Croatia
36%

Ivory Coast
35%

Japan
30%

Senegal
28%

South Africa
28%

Ghana
21%

Algeria
20%

Bosnia and Herzegovina
18%

Iran
18%

Paraguay
17%

Austria
16%

Sweden
12%

DR Congo
10%

Cape Verde
8%

South Korea
6%

Uzbekistan
<1%

Scotland
<1%
$2,480,584 Vol.

Argentina
94%

France
88%

USA
83%

Germany
82%

Spain
82%

England
79%

Portugal
76%

Canada
73%

Brazil
71%

Switzerland
70%

Norway
66%

Belgium
64%

Netherlands
63%

Mexico
62%

Colombia
61%

Egypt
58%

Australia
45%

Ecuador
38%

Morocco
37%

Croatia
36%

Ivory Coast
35%

Japan
30%

Senegal
28%

South Africa
28%

Ghana
21%

Algeria
20%

Bosnia and Herzegovina
18%

Iran
18%

Paraguay
17%

Austria
16%

Sweden
12%

DR Congo
10%

Cape Verde
8%

South Korea
6%

Uzbekistan
<1%

Scotland
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 1, 2026, 10:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Group stage results and remaining fixtures shape advancement odds most directly for any nation eyeing the Round of 16, as the top two teams per group plus select third-place sides advance to the expanded knockout bracket. Recent matches have clarified standings in several groups, with early wins boosting goal difference and points tallies for contenders while leaving others needing favorable results in their final group games. Squad depth, key player fitness from official reports, and historical performance against similar opposition provide additional context traders weigh. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing accounts for these variables alongside schedule difficulty and home-soil advantages for co-hosts, though upsets remain common in tournament play.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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