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Sports·Football

Coupe du monde : la nation atteindra les demi-finales

icon for Coupe du monde : la nation atteindra les demi-finales
Sports·Football

Coupe du monde : la nation atteindra les demi-finales

$363,681 Vol.

13 juil. 2026
Polymarket

$363,681 Vol.

Polymarket

Haiti

$1,101 Vol.

<1%

Panama

$300 Vol.

1%

Iran

$537 Vol.

1%

Egypt

$123 Vol.

2%

Canada

$5,746 Vol.

2%

Morocco

$16,288 Vol.

15%

Norway

$18,251 Vol.

14%

Colombia

$3,745 Vol.

15%

Curacao

$1,483 Vol.

1%

Japan

$17,068 Vol.

10%

Tunisia

$6,478 Vol.

2%

Qatar

$167 Vol.

<1%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$20,466 Vol.

2%

Brazil

$5,708 Vol.

27%

Australia

$6,508 Vol.

3%

Paraguay

$5,999 Vol.

2%

Netherlands

$5,203 Vol.

22%

Turkiye

$11,886 Vol.

10%

Saudi Arabia

$659 Vol.

1%

Ecuador

$6,364 Vol.

6%

Ghana

$645 Vol.

2%

Belgium

$673 Vol.

15%

France

$15,218 Vol.

40%

Argentina

$42,517 Vol.

33%

Austria

$6,402 Vol.

7%

Jordan

$6 Vol.

1%

Croatia

$11,311 Vol.

8%

DR Congo

$1,687 Vol.

1%

Germany

$3,912 Vol.

21%

Algeria

$853 Vol.

6%

Portugal

$12,131 Vol.

32%

Mexico

$13,299 Vol.

12%

Switzerland

$6,136 Vol.

9%

Sweden

$6,512 Vol.

5%

Spain

$23,997 Vol.

45%

South Korea

$8,106 Vol.

6%

New Zealand

$3 Vol.

1%

Ivory Coast

$9,598 Vol.

5%

Iraq

$334 Vol.

2%

Uzbekistan

$2,351 Vol.

1%

Scotland

$1,124 Vol.

2%

USA

$14,743 Vol.

14%

Cape Verde

$214 Vol.

<1%

Senegal

$4,992 Vol.

4%

South Africa

$591 Vol.

1%

Uruguay

$7,518 Vol.

8%

Czechia

$10,955 Vol.

2%

England

$23,829 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain, France, and England top trader consensus for 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal berths heading into the group stage, buoyed by Spain's Euro 2024 title, deep attacking options around Lamine Yamal, and France's generational talent including Kylian Mbappe. Argentina and Brazil follow closely, with Lionel Messi and a veteran core seeking back-to-back titles while Brazil rebuilds around its attacking depth. Portugal and Germany round out the leading group on the back of strong qualifying campaigns and star power from Cristiano Ronaldo and emerging midfielders. Early group results, including host-nation wins, have yet to shift probabilities significantly, though fixture congestion, potential injuries, and knockout bracket paths through the expanded 48-team format will drive further movement as matches progress from the opening round into the round of 32.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$363,681
Date de fin
13 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain, France, and England top trader consensus for 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal berths heading into the group stage, buoyed by Spain's Euro 2024 title, deep attacking options around Lamine Yamal, and France's generational talent including Kylian Mbappe. Argentina and Brazil follow closely, with Lionel Messi and a veteran core seeking back-to-back titles while Brazil rebuilds around its attacking depth. Portugal and Germany round out the leading group on the back of strong qualifying campaigns and star power from Cristiano Ronaldo and emerging midfielders. Early group results, including host-nation wins, have yet to shift probabilities significantly, though fixture congestion, potential injuries, and knockout bracket paths through the expanded 48-team format will drive further movement as matches progress from the opening round into the round of 32.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$363,681
Date de fin
13 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Coupe du monde : la nation atteindra les demi-finales » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 48+ résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Spain » à 45%, suivi de « France » à 40%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Coupe du monde : la nation atteindra les demi-finales » a généré $363.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 2, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Coupe du monde : la nation atteindra les demi-finales », parcourez les 48+ résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Coupe du monde : la nation atteindra les demi-finales » est « Spain » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « France » à 40%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Coupe du monde : la nation atteindra les demi-finales » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.