The tight clustering of implied probabilities among Spain, France, England, and other contenders stems from deep, balanced squads and recent form across major tournaments. Spain enters with momentum from Euro 2024 success and a young core featuring standout attackers, while France maintains consistency through strong defensive organization and attacking depth. England and Argentina benefit from experienced lineups and historical knockout pedigree, with Portugal and Brazil close behind on talent and attacking options. The expanded 48-team format and group-stage structure further compress probabilities, as any of several European or South American sides could advance deep given favorable draws, minimal injury disruptions, or momentum shifts in the knockout rounds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEspagne 16.4%
France 16.1%
Angleterre 10.8%
Portugal 10.4%
$1,935,030,723 Vol.
$1,935,030,723 Vol.
Espagne
16%
France
16%
Angleterre
11%
Portugal
10%
Argentine
9%
Brésil
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
4%
Norvège
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
Japon
2%
Maroc
2%
Mexique
1%
Suisse
1%
Turquie
1%
États-Unis
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Autriche
<1%
Canada
<1%
Suède
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
Espagne 16.4%
France 16.1%
Angleterre 10.8%
Portugal 10.4%
$1,935,030,723 Vol.
$1,935,030,723 Vol.
Espagne
16%
France
16%
Angleterre
11%
Portugal
10%
Argentine
9%
Brésil
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
4%
Norvège
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
Japon
2%
Maroc
2%
Mexique
1%
Suisse
1%
Turquie
1%
États-Unis
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Autriche
<1%
Canada
<1%
Suède
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The tight clustering of implied probabilities among Spain, France, England, and other contenders stems from deep, balanced squads and recent form across major tournaments. Spain enters with momentum from Euro 2024 success and a young core featuring standout attackers, while France maintains consistency through strong defensive organization and attacking depth. England and Argentina benefit from experienced lineups and historical knockout pedigree, with Portugal and Brazil close behind on talent and attacking options. The expanded 48-team format and group-stage structure further compress probabilities, as any of several European or South American sides could advance deep given favorable draws, minimal injury disruptions, or momentum shifts in the knockout rounds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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