Apple’s decision to place the Vision Pro successor “on ice” and redirect mixed-reality engineering resources to AI smart glasses slated for late 2027 underpins the 94.5% market-implied probability that no Vision Pro 2 ships before 2027. Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo reported in May–June 2026 that the planned lighter, cheaper follow-up and the canceled Vision Air project have been deprioritized by incoming leadership, with no active development timeline before late 2028 at the earliest; the only recent hardware move was an M5 chip refresh in October 2025. This resource shift and lack of supply-chain signals create strong trader consensus. A sudden reversal would require unexpected technical breakthroughs on weight, cost, and form factor plus rapid reallocation, scenarios viewed as low-probability given Apple’s current wearable-AI priorities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6% संभावना
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
6% संभावना
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s decision to place the Vision Pro successor “on ice” and redirect mixed-reality engineering resources to AI smart glasses slated for late 2027 underpins the 94.5% market-implied probability that no Vision Pro 2 ships before 2027. Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo reported in May–June 2026 that the planned lighter, cheaper follow-up and the canceled Vision Air project have been deprioritized by incoming leadership, with no active development timeline before late 2028 at the earliest; the only recent hardware move was an M5 chip refresh in October 2025. This resource shift and lack of supply-chain signals create strong trader consensus. A sudden reversal would require unexpected technical breakthroughs on weight, cost, and form factor plus rapid reallocation, scenarios viewed as low-probability given Apple’s current wearable-AI priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,017समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s decision to place the Vision Pro successor “on ice” and redirect mixed-reality engineering resources to AI smart glasses slated for late 2027 underpins the 94.5% market-implied probability that no Vision Pro 2 ships before 2027. Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo reported in May–June 2026 that the planned lighter, cheaper follow-up and the canceled Vision Air project have been deprioritized by incoming leadership, with no active development timeline before late 2028 at the earliest; the only recent hardware move was an M5 chip refresh in October 2025. This resource shift and lack of supply-chain signals create strong trader consensus. A sudden reversal would require unexpected technical breakthroughs on weight, cost, and form factor plus rapid reallocation, scenarios viewed as low-probability given Apple’s current wearable-AI priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$6,017समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Apple’s decision to place the Vision Pro successor “on ice” and redirect mixed-reality engineering resources to AI smart glasses slated for late 2027 underpins the 94.5% market-implied probability that no Vision Pro 2 ships before 2027. Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo reported in May–June 2026 that the planned lighter, cheaper follow-up and the canceled Vision Air project have been deprioritized by incoming leadership, with no active development timeline before late 2028 at the earliest; the only recent hardware move was an M5 chip refresh in October 2025. This resource shift and lack of supply-chain signals create strong trader consensus. A sudden reversal would require unexpected technical breakthroughs on weight, cost, and form factor plus rapid reallocation, scenarios viewed as low-probability given Apple’s current wearable-AI priorities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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