**Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a strong position in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district’s R+7 partisan lean, combined with Crane’s incumbency and 2024 win margin of 54.5%–45.5% against the same Democratic opponent, anchors trader consensus around a Republican victory. A late-August Peak Insights poll showed Crane leading former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez 53%–42%, widening his advantage from an earlier June survey. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. Crane’s Trump endorsement and Freedom Caucus profile further align with the district’s rural and conservative voter base, while Nez’s efforts to improve on 2024 performance and mobilize Native American turnout have not yet shifted the race into toss-up territory. The Libertarian candidate on the ballot adds minor vote-splitting uncertainty but does not materially alter the outlook.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAZ-02 House Election Winner
AZ-02 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
30%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$1,468 वॉल्यूम
70%
Democratic Party
$1,154 वॉल्यूम
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a strong position in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district’s R+7 partisan lean, combined with Crane’s incumbency and 2024 win margin of 54.5%–45.5% against the same Democratic opponent, anchors trader consensus around a Republican victory. A late-August Peak Insights poll showed Crane leading former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez 53%–42%, widening his advantage from an earlier June survey. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. Crane’s Trump endorsement and Freedom Caucus profile further align with the district’s rural and conservative voter base, while Nez’s efforts to improve on 2024 performance and mobilize Native American turnout have not yet shifted the race into toss-up territory. The Libertarian candidate on the ballot adds minor vote-splitting uncertainty but does not materially alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,622समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a strong position in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district’s R+7 partisan lean, combined with Crane’s incumbency and 2024 win margin of 54.5%–45.5% against the same Democratic opponent, anchors trader consensus around a Republican victory. A late-August Peak Insights poll showed Crane leading former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez 53%–42%, widening his advantage from an earlier June survey. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. Crane’s Trump endorsement and Freedom Caucus profile further align with the district’s rural and conservative voter base, while Nez’s efforts to improve on 2024 performance and mobilize Native American turnout have not yet shifted the race into toss-up territory. The Libertarian candidate on the ballot adds minor vote-splitting uncertainty but does not materially alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$2,622समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a strong position in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district’s R+7 partisan lean, combined with Crane’s incumbency and 2024 win margin of 54.5%–45.5% against the same Democratic opponent, anchors trader consensus around a Republican victory. A late-August Peak Insights poll showed Crane leading former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez 53%–42%, widening his advantage from an earlier June survey. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. Crane’s Trump endorsement and Freedom Caucus profile further align with the district’s rural and conservative voter base, while Nez’s efforts to improve on 2024 performance and mobilize Native American turnout have not yet shifted the race into toss-up territory. The Libertarian candidate on the ballot adds minor vote-splitting uncertainty but does not materially alter the outlook.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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