Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a structural edge in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by forecasters with an R+7 partisan voter index. This positioning stems from Crane's 2024 reelection margin of 54.5 percent against the same Democratic challenger, former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez, in a rematch set for November 2026. Primary elections scheduled for July 21 further clarify the field ahead of general election voting. Trader consensus at 58.5 percent for Republicans aligns with the district's consistent Republican tilt, even as national midterm dynamics and Democratic House control odds near 78 percent introduce modest uncertainty. No major developments in recent weeks have altered this balance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAZ-02 House Election Winner
AZ-02 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
65%
Democratic Party
25%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$330 वॉल्यूम
65%
Democratic Party
$208 वॉल्यूम
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a structural edge in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by forecasters with an R+7 partisan voter index. This positioning stems from Crane's 2024 reelection margin of 54.5 percent against the same Democratic challenger, former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez, in a rematch set for November 2026. Primary elections scheduled for July 21 further clarify the field ahead of general election voting. Trader consensus at 58.5 percent for Republicans aligns with the district's consistent Republican tilt, even as national midterm dynamics and Democratic House control odds near 78 percent introduce modest uncertainty. No major developments in recent weeks have altered this balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$537समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a structural edge in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by forecasters with an R+7 partisan voter index. This positioning stems from Crane's 2024 reelection margin of 54.5 percent against the same Democratic challenger, former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez, in a rematch set for November 2026. Primary elections scheduled for July 21 further clarify the field ahead of general election voting. Trader consensus at 58.5 percent for Republicans aligns with the district's consistent Republican tilt, even as national midterm dynamics and Democratic House control odds near 78 percent introduce modest uncertainty. No major developments in recent weeks have altered this balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$537समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a structural edge in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by forecasters with an R+7 partisan voter index. This positioning stems from Crane's 2024 reelection margin of 54.5 percent against the same Democratic challenger, former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez, in a rematch set for November 2026. Primary elections scheduled for July 21 further clarify the field ahead of general election voting. Trader consensus at 58.5 percent for Republicans aligns with the district's consistent Republican tilt, even as national midterm dynamics and Democratic House control odds near 78 percent introduce modest uncertainty. No major developments in recent weeks have altered this balance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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