The open AZ-05 seat, vacated by incumbent Republican Andy Biggs' gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus toward Republicans at over 80% implied probability in a district with R+10 Cook PVI and Biggs' prior 21-point 2024 margin. Trump-endorsed Mark Lamb leads the crowded GOP primary field per late-2025 polling and March fundraising reports showing strong cash reserves among Republicans like Daniel Keenan ($1.2M on hand), contrasting underfunded Democrats such as Chris James and Elizabeth Lee. No general election polls have emerged, but the partisan tilt and upcoming July 21 primaries reinforce structural barriers to a Democratic upset absent major shifts like scandals or national wave turnout.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAZ-05 House Election Winner
AZ-05 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
14%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$6,061 वॉल्यूम
82%
Democratic Party
$2,989 वॉल्यूम
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open AZ-05 seat, vacated by incumbent Republican Andy Biggs' gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus toward Republicans at over 80% implied probability in a district with R+10 Cook PVI and Biggs' prior 21-point 2024 margin. Trump-endorsed Mark Lamb leads the crowded GOP primary field per late-2025 polling and March fundraising reports showing strong cash reserves among Republicans like Daniel Keenan ($1.2M on hand), contrasting underfunded Democrats such as Chris James and Elizabeth Lee. No general election polls have emerged, but the partisan tilt and upcoming July 21 primaries reinforce structural barriers to a Democratic upset absent major shifts like scandals or national wave turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,050समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open AZ-05 seat, vacated by incumbent Republican Andy Biggs' gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus toward Republicans at over 80% implied probability in a district with R+10 Cook PVI and Biggs' prior 21-point 2024 margin. Trump-endorsed Mark Lamb leads the crowded GOP primary field per late-2025 polling and March fundraising reports showing strong cash reserves among Republicans like Daniel Keenan ($1.2M on hand), contrasting underfunded Democrats such as Chris James and Elizabeth Lee. No general election polls have emerged, but the partisan tilt and upcoming July 21 primaries reinforce structural barriers to a Democratic upset absent major shifts like scandals or national wave turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$9,050समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open AZ-05 seat, vacated by incumbent Republican Andy Biggs' gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus toward Republicans at over 80% implied probability in a district with R+10 Cook PVI and Biggs' prior 21-point 2024 margin. Trump-endorsed Mark Lamb leads the crowded GOP primary field per late-2025 polling and March fundraising reports showing strong cash reserves among Republicans like Daniel Keenan ($1.2M on hand), contrasting underfunded Democrats such as Chris James and Elizabeth Lee. No general election polls have emerged, but the partisan tilt and upcoming July 21 primaries reinforce structural barriers to a Democratic upset absent major shifts like scandals or national wave turnout.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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