The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its policy rate at 2.25% through July 2026, amid subdued GDP growth now projected at just 0.7% for the year and July CPI inflation at 3.0% (elevated by energy prices from Middle East tensions), underpins the 80% market-implied probability of no 2026 rate hike. Traders price in persistent economic weakness and the central bank's willingness to look through transitory inflation spikes, consistent with forward guidance and economist consensus forecasting the rate remaining unchanged into year-end. Geopolitical risks and a weaker loonie add caution but have not shifted expectations toward tightening, with markets assigning low odds to any move above the current level before 2027. Key near-term catalysts include the September 2 policy meeting and August inflation data, which could reinforce the current path if growth remains soft.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में बैंक ऑफ़ कनाडा की दर में बढ़ोतरी?
2026 में बैंक ऑफ़ कनाडा की दर में बढ़ोतरी?
हाँ
20% संभावना
$19,061 वॉल्यूम
$19,061 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
हाँ
20% संभावना
$19,061 वॉल्यूम
$19,061 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its policy rate at 2.25% through July 2026, amid subdued GDP growth now projected at just 0.7% for the year and July CPI inflation at 3.0% (elevated by energy prices from Middle East tensions), underpins the 80% market-implied probability of no 2026 rate hike. Traders price in persistent economic weakness and the central bank's willingness to look through transitory inflation spikes, consistent with forward guidance and economist consensus forecasting the rate remaining unchanged into year-end. Geopolitical risks and a weaker loonie add caution but have not shifted expectations toward tightening, with markets assigning low odds to any move above the current level before 2027. Key near-term catalysts include the September 2 policy meeting and August inflation data, which could reinforce the current path if growth remains soft.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,061समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its policy rate at 2.25% through July 2026, amid subdued GDP growth now projected at just 0.7% for the year and July CPI inflation at 3.0% (elevated by energy prices from Middle East tensions), underpins the 80% market-implied probability of no 2026 rate hike. Traders price in persistent economic weakness and the central bank's willingness to look through transitory inflation spikes, consistent with forward guidance and economist consensus forecasting the rate remaining unchanged into year-end. Geopolitical risks and a weaker loonie add caution but have not shifted expectations toward tightening, with markets assigning low odds to any move above the current level before 2027. Key near-term catalysts include the September 2 policy meeting and August inflation data, which could reinforce the current path if growth remains soft.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$19,061समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its policy rate at 2.25% through July 2026, amid subdued GDP growth now projected at just 0.7% for the year and July CPI inflation at 3.0% (elevated by energy prices from Middle East tensions), underpins the 80% market-implied probability of no 2026 rate hike. Traders price in persistent economic weakness and the central bank's willingness to look through transitory inflation spikes, consistent with forward guidance and economist consensus forecasting the rate remaining unchanged into year-end. Geopolitical risks and a weaker loonie add caution but have not shifted expectations toward tightening, with markets assigning low odds to any move above the current level before 2027. Key near-term catalysts include the September 2 policy meeting and August inflation data, which could reinforce the current path if growth remains soft.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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