The Bank of Japan’s April 28 decision to hold its policy rate at 0.75 percent, combined with a sharply upgraded fiscal 2026 core CPI forecast to 2.8 percent amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions, has positioned a 25 basis point hike as the dominant outcome priced by traders. The 6-3 board split, with three members dissenting in favor of an immediate increase to 1.0 percent, and subsequent summary of opinions highlighting upside inflation risks from fuel costs and yen weakness have reinforced expectations for normalization at the June 16 meeting. Labor market tightness and ongoing wage-price dynamics further support the case for gradual tightening, while softer growth projections and geopolitical uncertainty keep a modest probability on no change. Market-implied odds reflect this hawkish tilt without signaling larger moves or cuts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया25 बीपीएस की वृद्धि 79.8%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 20%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि 1.2%
दरें घटाना <1%
$114,992 वॉल्यूम
$114,992 वॉल्यूम
16 जून, 2026
दरें घटाना
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
20%
25 बीपीएस की वृद्धि
80%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
1%
25 बीपीएस की वृद्धि 79.8%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 20%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि 1.2%
दरें घटाना <1%
$114,992 वॉल्यूम
$114,992 वॉल्यूम
16 जून, 2026
दरें घटाना
$34,145 वॉल्यूम
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$28,989 वॉल्यूम
20%
25 बीपीएस की वृद्धि
$27,491 वॉल्यूम
80%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
$24,367 वॉल्यूम
1%
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Japan’s April 28 decision to hold its policy rate at 0.75 percent, combined with a sharply upgraded fiscal 2026 core CPI forecast to 2.8 percent amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions, has positioned a 25 basis point hike as the dominant outcome priced by traders. The 6-3 board split, with three members dissenting in favor of an immediate increase to 1.0 percent, and subsequent summary of opinions highlighting upside inflation risks from fuel costs and yen weakness have reinforced expectations for normalization at the June 16 meeting. Labor market tightness and ongoing wage-price dynamics further support the case for gradual tightening, while softer growth projections and geopolitical uncertainty keep a modest probability on no change. Market-implied odds reflect this hawkish tilt without signaling larger moves or cuts.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$114,992समाप्ति तिथि
16 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Japan’s April 28 decision to hold its policy rate at 0.75 percent, combined with a sharply upgraded fiscal 2026 core CPI forecast to 2.8 percent amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions, has positioned a 25 basis point hike as the dominant outcome priced by traders. The 6-3 board split, with three members dissenting in favor of an immediate increase to 1.0 percent, and subsequent summary of opinions highlighting upside inflation risks from fuel costs and yen weakness have reinforced expectations for normalization at the June 16 meeting. Labor market tightness and ongoing wage-price dynamics further support the case for gradual tightening, while softer growth projections and geopolitical uncertainty keep a modest probability on no change. Market-implied odds reflect this hawkish tilt without signaling larger moves or cuts.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$114,992समाप्ति तिथि
16 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Japan’s April 28 decision to hold its policy rate at 0.75 percent, combined with a sharply upgraded fiscal 2026 core CPI forecast to 2.8 percent amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions, has positioned a 25 basis point hike as the dominant outcome priced by traders. The 6-3 board split, with three members dissenting in favor of an immediate increase to 1.0 percent, and subsequent summary of opinions highlighting upside inflation risks from fuel costs and yen weakness have reinforced expectations for normalization at the June 16 meeting. Labor market tightness and ongoing wage-price dynamics further support the case for gradual tightening, while softer growth projections and geopolitical uncertainty keep a modest probability on no change. Market-implied odds reflect this hawkish tilt without signaling larger moves or cuts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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